{"id":9325,"date":"2025-09-11T18:35:08","date_gmt":"2025-09-11T21:35:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=9325"},"modified":"2025-09-11T18:35:09","modified_gmt":"2025-09-11T21:35:09","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c09%ec%9b%94-11%ec%9d%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=9325","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(09\uc6d4 11\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. 8\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 1.9%, 9\uc6d4\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ub420\uae4c ?
    \uad6d\ub9bd\ud1b5\uacc4\uccad (INDEC)\uc740 \uc5b4\uc81c 8\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 1.9%\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc6d4\uac04 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d 2%\ub97c \ubc11\ub3cc\uc558\uace0, \uc62c\ud574 8\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 19.5%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc5f0\uac04 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 33.6%\ub85c 2018\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub0ae\uc558\ub2e4.
    \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uacac\uc778\ud55c \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc6b4\uc1a1\ube44\uac00 3.5% \uc62c\ub790\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc720\ub958 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ucc28\ub7c9 \uad6c\ub9e4 \ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uadf8 \ub4a4\ub97c \uc8fc\ub958\uc640 \ub2f4\ubc30\uac00 3.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc758\ub958\uc640 \uc2e0\ubc1c\uc740 0.3% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2%\ub85c 7\uc6d4\uc758 1.5%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub9ce\uc774 \ub192\uc558\ub2e4.
    \uacc4\uc808 \uc694\uc778 \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 0.8% \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uace0, \uaddc\uc81c \ubb3c\uac00\ub294 2.7% \uc62c\ub77c\uc11c \uc804\ub2ec\ubcf4\ub2e4 0.4%\uac00 \ub9ce\uc558\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \uacbd\uc81c\ubd80 \uc785\ucc30 91% \uac31\uc2e0
    \uacbd\uc81c\ubd80\ub294 \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c 7\uc870 2\ucc9c\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c\ub97c \uc785\ucc30\ud574 \ub9cc\uae30\uc561\uc758 91.4%\ub97c \uac31\uc2e0\ud558\ub294 \uae0d\uc815\uc801 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc5bb\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc740 6\uc870 6\ucc9c\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c\uc758 \ucc44\uad8c\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud588\ub294\ub370, \ub2e8\uae30 \ucc44\uad8c LECAP\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0 59%\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uc120\uac70 \ud328\ubc30 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \uc870\ub2ec\ud574, \uae34\uae09\ud55c \uc790\uae08 \uc870\ub2ec \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc744 \uc644\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4.
    \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc740 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc2dc\uae30\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ucc38\uc5ec\ub97c \uac15\uc870\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\uc815 \ubc0f \uae08\uc735\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc558\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uae08\ub9ac \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc778\ud558\ud558\uc5ec 40% \uc774\ud558\ub85c \uc124\uc815
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub2e8\ud589\ud574 \uc5f0 40% \uc774\ud558\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \uc99d\uad8c\uac70\ub798\uc18c\uc758 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \uac1c\uc785\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc5f0 35%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucd94\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc5f0 45%, \ud654\uc694\uc77c \uc5f0 40%\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9 \ub454\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub0ae\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c\uc9c0 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\ub824\ub294 \uc2dc\ub3c4\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ucd5c\uadfc \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \uc5bc\uc5b4\ubd99\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ucd09\ubc1c\ud574 \ud658\uc728\uc5d0 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 7\uc6d4 2.3% \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uc5ec \ub450 \ub2ec \uc5f0\uc18d \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7f0 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc758 \ud6c4\ud1f4\ub294 LEFI \ucc44\uad8c \ud68c\uc218\uc640 \uc77c\uce58\ud558\uba70, \uae08\ub9ac\uc758 \ucd94\uac00 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc804\uad6d \uc911\uacc4\ubc29\uc1a1\uc73c\ub85c 2026\ub144 \uc608\uc0b0\uc548 \uc124\uba85 \uc608\uc815
    \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 2026\ub144 \uc608\uc0b0\uc548 \ucd08\uc548 \uc81c\ucd9c \ub9c8\uac10\uc77c\uc778 9\uc6d4 15\uc77c \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0 \uc0dd\ubc29\uc1a1\uc73c\ub85c \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc790\uc138\ud788 \uc124\uba85\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub9e5\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c 2023\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2b9\uc778\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \ubc95\uc548\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub17c\uc758\ub97c \uacf5\uc2dd\ud654\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc758\ud68c\uc5d0 \ubc95\uc548\uc744 \ubcf4\ub0bc \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.
    \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc2e4\uc740 \uc774 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\uac00 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ucde8\ud55c \uc7ac\uc815 \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ube44\uc900\uc758 \uc131\uaca9\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \uba87 \uc8fc \uc804\uc5d0 \ubcf4\ub0b8 \uc0ac\uc804 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc870\uc138 \uc555\ubc15\uc774 GDP\uc758 22.23%\uc5d0\uc11c 22.74%\ub85c \uc57d\uac04 \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc138\uc218 \uc99d\uac00\ub294 \uc8fc\ub85c \ubd80\uac00\uac00\uce58\uc138 (IVA) 18.7%, \uc218\uc785 \uad00\uc138 23.2%\uac00 \uac01\uac01 \uc99d\uac00\ud574 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud560 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uac1c\uc778\uc758 \uc218\uc785\uc138\ub294 13% \uac10\uc18c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0\uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \ub418\ub294 \uac1c\uc778 \ubcf4\uc720 \ucc44\uad8c \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84\uc774 2026\ub144\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uae30\ub418\uc5b4, \ub0b4\ub144\uc758 \uc7ac\ubb34 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc778\uc815\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc640\ud568\uaed8 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 10\uc6d4 \uc120\uac70 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 IMF\uc640 \ud569\uc758\ud55c \ubaa9\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc7ac\ud611\uc0c1\uc744 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \ucc44\uad8c\uacfc \uc8fc\uc2dd \ubc18\ub4f1
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uae08\uc735 \uc790\uc0b0\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uad6d\ub0b4\uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0\uc11c \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ud2c0 \uc5f0\uc18d \ubc18\ub4f1\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc120\uac70 \ud328\ubc30 \ub2e4\uc74c \ub0a0\uc778 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778 \uae08\uc735 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub9e4\uc218 \uae30\ud68c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba74\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ud65c\uc131\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4.
    ADR\uc740 7.3%, Merval \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c 5.6%, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c 5.8% \uac01\uac01 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574, \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ud658\uc728 \uaddc\uc81c \uc644\ud654 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c 4\uc6d4 14\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \uc77c\uc77c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 11.7%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucc44\uad8c\ub3c4 3.2% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574, \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\ub294 1,070bp\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  6. \uc815\ubd80\ud658\uc728 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ucd5c\uace0\uc810
    \ub3c4\ub9e4\ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c 7 \ud398\uc18c\uac00 \uc624\ub978 1,423.50 \ud328\ubc30\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud574 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ucd5c\uace0\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ubd80\uc5d0\ub178\uc2a4\uc544\uc774\ub808\uc2a4 \uc8fc\uc758 \uc120\uac70 \ud328\ubc30 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2e8 3 \uac70\ub798\uc77c \ub9cc\uc5d0 68.50 \ud398\uc18c\uac00 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4.
    \uae08\uc735 \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc18c\ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\ud574, MEP \ud658\uc728\uc740 1,428.49 \ud398\uc18c,
    CCL \ud658\uc728\uc740 1,436.89 \ud328\ubc30\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.
    \uc120\ubb3c\ud658\uc728\uc740 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \ud558\ub77d\ud574 9\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc740 1,446.50 \ud398\uc18c, 12\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc740 1,583 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  7. \uae4c\ubfcc\ub610 IMF \ud611\uc815 \uac80\ud1a0 \uc704\ud574 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134 \ubc29\ubb38 \uc608\uc815
    \uae4c\ubfcc\ub610 \uacbd\uc81c\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \uac8c\uc624\ub974\uae30\uc5d0\ubc14 IMF \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc640 \uad00\ub9ac\ub4e4\uacfc \ud68c\ub2f4\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uba87 \uc8fc \uc548\uc5d0 \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc744 \ubc29\ubb38\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ubaa9\uc801\uc740 \ud658\uc728\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc555\ub825\uacfc \uc120\uac70 \ucc38\ud328 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc874 \ud611\uc815\uc744 \ube44\uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0, \uacbd\uc81c \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad6d\uc81c\uc801 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uc77c\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\uac00, \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \uc548\uc815\uc744 \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud558\uace0, IMF\uc640 \ud611\uc815\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uacbd\uc81c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc870\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc548\uc744 \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \uc21c\ubc29\uc740 10\uc6d4 26\uc77c \uc120\uac70 \uc5f4\ud758 \uc804\uc5d0 \uc5f4\ub9ac\ub294 IMF\uc640 \uc138\uacc4\uc740\ud589 \uc5f0\ub840\ud68c\uc758\uc5d0 \ucc38\uc11d\ub3c4 \uc608\uc815\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud575\uc2ec \uc7c1\uc810 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc9c0\uae09\uc900\ube44\uc728\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \ubaa9\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac80\ud1a0\uc774\ub2e4.
    IMF\ub294 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac 1,470 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ub41c \ubc34\ub4dc \uc0c1\ud55c\uc120\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560\uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \ube44\uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2b9\uc778\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uace0 \ud574\uc11c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uac00 2026\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \ub2ec\uc131\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc774\ub8e8\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc561\uc744 \uc2e0\uccad\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ubc1b\uc544\ub4e4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  8. \ubbf8\uad6d \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158
    \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 8\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 2.9% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574, 7\uc6d4\uc758 2.7%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc558\ub2e4.
    \uae30\ucd08 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 3.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574, \uc9c0\ub09c 7\uc6d4\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    8\uc6d4 \uc6d4\ubcc4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 0.4%\ub85c \uc804\uc6d4\uc758 0.2%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc558\ub2e4.
    \uae30\ucd08 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 0.3% \uc62c\ub77c \uc804\uc6d4\uacfc \uac19\uc558\ub2e4,
    \uc774\ub7f0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub0c9\uac01\uc73c\ub85c, \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uc744 \uc800\ud574\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba74\uc11c \ubb3c\uac00\ub3c4 \uc7a1\uc544\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \ub3c4\uc804\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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