{"id":9198,"date":"2025-08-30T12:47:49","date_gmt":"2025-08-30T15:47:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=9198"},"modified":"2025-08-30T12:47:50","modified_gmt":"2025-08-30T15:47:50","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c08%ec%9b%94-30%ec%9d%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=9198","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(08\uc6d4 30\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ud1b5\uc81c \uac15\ud654
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uae08\uc735\uae30\uad00\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc81c\ud55c \uc870\uce58\ub97c \uba85\ub839\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc6d4\ub9d0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc794\uc561\uc744 \uc904\uc77c \uc218\ub294 \uc788\uc5b4\ub3c4 \ub298\ub9b4 \uc218\ub294 \uc5c6\ub3c4\ub85d \ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uc6d4\ub9d0\uc5d0 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud658\uc804\ud574 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\ub358 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uad00\ud589\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub2e4.
    \ubc14\uc6b0\uc2e4\ub9ac \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub7f0 \uad00\ud589\uc774 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc5d0 \ubd80\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce5c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub610 \uc21c\ub300\uc678 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 12\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 \uc218\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ub2ec \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \uc77c\uc77c \uc9c0\uae09\uc900\ube44\uc728\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0\uc9c4\ub2e4.
    \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc870\uce58\uac00 \uc740\ud589\uc758 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc81c\ud55c\ud558\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc548\uc804\uc131\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \ud658\uc728 \ud558\ub77d
    \ub3c4\ub9e4\ud658\uc728\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c 16.50 \ud398\uc18c\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 1,333 \ud398\uc18c\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5b4 2\uc8fc \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7f0 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc758 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c 114.6%\uc758 \ub864\uc624\ubc84\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc92c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.
    MEP \ud658\uc728\uc740 1,344.05 \ud398\uc18c, CCL \ud658\uc728\uc740 1,347.64 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc120\ubb3c\ud658\uc728\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\ud574 8\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc740 1,334.50 \ud398\uc18c, 12\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc740 1,525 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. ADR \ubc18\ub4f1
    \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8\uc758 ADR\uc740 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc804\ub0a0\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud574 \ucd5c\ub300 6.3%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc6d4\uac04\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4\uc774\ub2e4.
    Merval \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c 1.2%, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c 1,7% \uac01\uac01 \uc62c\ub790\uc73c\uba70, \uc77c\ubd80 \uc885\ubaa9\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 4.7%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc6d4\uac04\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucc44\uad8c\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 1.4%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\uace0, \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\ub294 \uc57d\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 853bp\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud574 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ubd88\uc2e0\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uc785\ucc30 \ub54c\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud55c\uc228 \ub3cc\ub9b0 \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad
    \ucd5c\uadfc \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c 114.6%\uc758 \ub864\uc624\ubc84\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc740 \uc120\uac70 \uc804\uc758 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc740 \uac70\uc758 1\uc870 \ud398\uc18c\ub97c \ud761\uc218\ud558\uace0, 6\uc870 \ud398\uc18c\ub97c 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5f0\uae30\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub610 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc5d0 23\uc870 \ud398\uc18c\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ud574 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc0c1\ud658\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uaca9\uc8fc \uc785\ucc30\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc120\uac70 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc9c0\uae08\ubd80\ud130 10\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 8\uc6d4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \uc9e7\uc740 3\ubc88\uc758 \uc785\ucc30\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544\uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 15\uc870 \ud398\uc18c \uc870\ub2ec\uc774\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \uae4c\ubfcc\ub610 LEFI \ucc44\uad8c \ud68c\uc218 \uc639\ud638
    \uae4c\ubfcc\ub610 \uacbd\uc81c\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 LEFI \ud68c\uc218 \uc870\uce58\ub85c, \ub354 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uc640 \ud658\uc728 \uae09\ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc34\ub4dc \uc0c1\ud55c\uc120\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac00\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ud53c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4\uba70, \uc774 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \uc639\ud638\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub294 \ud398\uc18c\ud654 \uc789\uc5ec\uac00 \ub07c\ub974\uce58\ub124\ub974\uc8fc\uc758\uac00 \ub0a8\uae34 ‘\ud0c4\uc57d’\uc73c\ub85c \ubb18\uc0ac\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uc758\ud68c\uc758 \uc5ed\ud65c\uc744 \uc57c\ub2f9\uc774 ‘\ubb34\uc7a5\ud55c \ud314’\uc744 \ud718\ub450\ub974\ub294 \uae30\uad00\uc73c\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 ‘\ud0c4\uc57d’\uc5c6\uc774 \ub0a8\uaca8\ub450\uc5b4\uc57c \ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uacbd\uc81c\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 LEFI\uac00 \uc77c\uc77c 16\uc870 \ud398\uc18c\uc758 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uae30\uc5d0 \ud68c\uc218\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc73c\uba74, \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \uc815\uce58\uc801, \uc7ac\uc815\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \ub450\ubc30\ub294 \ub418\uc5c8\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub610 \ub9cc\uc57d LEFI\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d \ud65c\uc6a9\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4\uba74, \uc624\ub298 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \ubc34\ub4dc \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud314\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc2e4\ud328\ud588\ub2e4\uac70\ub098 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 IMF\uc640 \uacb0\ubcc4\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc18c\ubb38\uc774 \ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.
    \uae4c\ubfcc\ub610\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc815\ucc45 \ucd08\uae30 \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc801\uc6a9\ud55c \uac83\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc758\uc2ec\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ucd08\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\uc5c8\uace0, \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc740 \uba87\ub2ec \uc804\uc758 \ud658\uc728\uc774 1,250 \ud398\uc18c\uc774\uace0, \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 25% \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc \uac19\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c4 \uac83\uc740 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uacf5\uaca9\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\uace0, \uadf8\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4 \ub77c\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  6. 2025\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 \uc678\uad6d\uc778 \uc9c1\uc811\ud22c\uc790
    \uc678\uad6d\uc778 \uc9c1\uc811\ud22c\uc790\uac00 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc678\uad6d\uc778 \uc9c1\uc811\ud22c\uc790\ub294 2025\ub144 1\ubd84\uae30 6\uc5b5 1100\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 2024\ub144 4\ubd84\uae30\uc758 9\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub298\uc5b4\ub0ac\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uce58\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \ud32c\ub370\ubbf9 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub450\ubc88\uc9f8\ub85c \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uce58\ub85c 2020\ub144 2\ubd84\uae30 2300\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc138\ubd80 \ub0b4\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc775\uae08\uc758 \uc7ac\ud22c\uc790\ub294 14\uc5b5 6500\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc600\uace0, \uc790\ubcf8 \ud22c\uc790\ub294 5\uc5b5 1\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub807\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc774\ub807\uac8c \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc628 \uc790\uae08\uc740 11\uc5b5 8200\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc778\uc218\ud569\ubcd1 (M&A) \ub300\uae08 \uc9c0\uae09\uacfc 1\uc5b5 8200\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ucc44\ubb34 \uc0c1\ud658\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c0\ucd9c\ud574 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \ud574\uc678 \ud22c\uc790\uc758 38%\uac00 \uad11\uc0b0 \ubc0f \ucc44\uc11d (7\uc5b5 5800\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec) \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud588\uace0, 35%\uac00 \uae08\uc735\uc5c5 (6\uc5b5 1\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec)\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  7. \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \uc57d\uc138
    \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8\ub294 \ubaa9\uc694\uc77c \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uc810\uc744 \ucc0d\uc5c8\uace0, \uae08\uc694\uc77c \uac1c\uc7a5 \uc804\uc5d0\ub294 \uc57d\uac04 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc2dc\uc138\ub85c \uac1c\uc7a5\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 7\uc6d4 \uac1c\uc778\uc18c\ube44\uc9c0\ucd9c (PCE) \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\uacfc\uac00 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \ub2e8\uacc4\ub97c \uc870\uc815\ud558\ub294\ub370 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc5ed\ud65c\uc744 \ud560\uac83\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 PCE\ub294 7\uc6d4\uc5d0 2.6%, \ud575\uc2ec \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2.9%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\uacfc \uc77c\uce58\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc6d4\uac04 PCE\ub294 \ucd5c\ub300 0.2% (\uc774\uc804 0.3%)\uc774\uace0, \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 0.3%\ub85c 6\uc6d4\uacfc \uac19\ub2e4.
    \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 9\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \ud655\ub960\uc740 89.2%\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8\uc758 \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4\ub294 0.31%, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uc740 0.58%, S&P 500\uc740 0.35%\uc529 \uac01\uac01 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub274\uc695 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 9\uc6d4 1\uc77c \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \ub178\ub3d9\uc808\ub85c \ud734\uc7a5\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc678\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc624\ub298 \uc54c\ub9ac\ubc14\ubc14, \ub514\ub514, \ud504\ub860\ud2b8\ub77c\uc778\uc758 \ub300\ucc28\ub300\uc870\ud45c\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  8. \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc758 \ubc18\uaca9
    \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc758 \ub8f0\ub77c \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 50% \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\uacfc \uc774\ud6c4, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubb34\uc5ed \ubcf4\ubcf5 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uccab\uac78\uc74c\uc744 \ub0b4\ub514\ub3a0\ub2e4.
    \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc774 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc808\ucc28\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uc774\ubc88\uc774 \ucc98\uc74c\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \uc758\ud68c\uac00 \uc62c\ud574 \ud1b5\uacfc\uc2dc\ud0a8 \ubc95\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \uc81c 3\uad6d\uc774 \uc77c\ubc29\uc801\uc778 \uc870\uce58\ub85c \uad00\uc138\ub098 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc81c\uc7ac\ub97c \ubc1b\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ub9de\ub300\uc751\uc744 \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uad8c\ud55c\uc744 \ubd80\uc5ec\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ubc18\uaca9 \uc808\ucc28 \uc2dc\uc791\uc744 \ud1b5\ubcf4 \ubc1b\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc740 \uc9c0\uae08\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc138\uacc4\ubb34\uc5ed\uae30\uad6c (WTO)\uc758 \ud2c0 \uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \ud574\uacb0\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc591\uad6d \uac04\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc758 \uc804 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \ubcfc\uc18c\ub098\ub85c\uc758 \uc7ac\ud310\uc744 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uad00\uc138 50%\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub2e8 \ub18d\ucd95 \uc624\ub80c\uc9c0 \uc8fc\uc2a4\uc640 \ud56d\uacf5\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc740 \uc81c\uc678\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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