{"id":9018,"date":"2025-08-21T19:29:57","date_gmt":"2025-08-21T22:29:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=9018"},"modified":"2025-08-21T19:29:58","modified_gmt":"2025-08-21T22:29:58","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c08%ec%9b%94-21%ec%9d%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=9018","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(08\uc6d4 21\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. \ud558\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \ud328\ubc30
    \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud560\uae4c ?
    \uc5ec\ub2f9\uc774 \uc5b4\uc81c \ud558\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \ud328\ubc30\ud55c \ud6c4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc624\ub298 \ub3d9\ud5a5\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud558\uc6d0\uc758 \ud22c\ud45c \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \ucc44\uad8c\uacfc \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub0a8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud788\ub099\ud3ed\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc57c\ub2f9\uc758\uc6d0\ub4e4\uc740 \uc7a5\uc560\uc778 \uae34\uae09 \ubc95\uc548\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \uac70\ubd80\uad8c\uc744 \uac00\uae4c\uc2a4\ub85c \ubb34\uc0b0\uc2dc\ucf30\uace0, \uc9c0\ubc29 \ubd84\ubc30\uae08 \ubc95\uc548\ub3c4 \ud1b5\uacfc\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc5ec\ub2f9\uc740 \uc5f0\uae08 \ubc95\uc548\uacfc \ubc14\uc774\uc544 \ube14\ub791\uae4c \uc2dc\uc758 \ube44\uc0c1\uc0ac\ud0dc \ubc95\uc548, \uc138\uae08 \ud560\ubd80 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc5f0\uc7a5 \ubc95\uc548\uc740 \uc815\uc871\uc218 \ubbf8\ub2ec\ub85c \ud22c\ud45c\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \ud3d0\uae30\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4.
    \ucde8\uc57d\uacc4\uce35 \uae34\uae09 \ubc95\uc548\uc740 \uc57c\ub2f9\uc774 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ubc18\ud558\uc5ec \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\ub294 \ubc95\uc548\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc870\uce58\uac00 IMF\uc640 \ud569\uc758\ud55c \uc62c\ud574 GDP 1.6%\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud558\ub294 1\ucc28 \ud751\uc790 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc5b4\ub835\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud558\ub77d\uc138
    \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8\uc758 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub85c \uc2dc\uc791\ud558\uc5ec \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \uac70\ubd80\uad8c\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc \uc7ac\uc815\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \ud558\uc6d0 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ud22c\uc790 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub274\uc695\uc99d\uad8c\uac70\ub798\uc18c\uc758 ADR\uc740 8.5% \ucd94\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc99d\uad8c\uac70\ub798\uc18c\uc5d0\uc11c Merval \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c 0.5%, \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c 0.9% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucc44\uad8c\ub3c4 2.6% \uc774\uc0c1 \ub0b4\ub838\uace0, \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\ub294 706bp\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9 \uac10\uc18c
    \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uc740 6\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub450\ub2ec \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uad6d\ub9bd\ud1b5\uacc4\uccad (INDEC)\uc758 \uc790\ub8cc\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uc9c0\uc218 (EMAE)\ub294 5\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 0.7% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\ub358 2\uc6d4\ubcf4\ub2e4 1.3% \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7f0 \uc545\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 2024\ub144 6\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574\uc11c\ub294 6.4% \uc131\uc7a5\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc870\uc0ac \ubd80\ubb38 \uc911 12\uac1c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub294\ub370, \uae08\uc735 \uc911\uac1c\uc5c5 +28.7%, \ub3c4\uc18c\ub9e4 \ubc0f \uc218\ub9ac\uc5c5 +11.5%\ub85c \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc558\uace0, 3\uac1c \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub294\ub370, \uc5b4\uc5c5 -74.6%, \uacf5\uacf5 \ud589\uc815\uacfc \uad6d\ubc29, \uc0ac\ud68c\ubcf4\uc7a5, \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc0ac\ud68c, \uc0ac\ud68c \ubc0f \uac1c\uc778 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc740 -0.7%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    EMAE\uc774 \uc791\ub144\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc558\ub358 \uac83\uc740 \ubb34\uc5ed\uacfc \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc758 \ud65c\ub3d9 \ub355\ubd84\uc774\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. 13\uac70\ub798\uc77c \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9
    \uc815\ubd80\ud658\uc728\uc740 13\uac70\ub798\uc77c \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 1,300 \ud398\uc18c\ub97c \ub118\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \ub3c4\ub9e4\ud658\uc728\uc740 8.50 \ud398\uc18c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 1,292.50 \ud398\uc18c, MEP \ud658\uc728\uc740 1,309.60 \ud398\uc18c, CCL \ud658\uc728\uc740 1,311.61 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc120\ubb3c\ud658\uc728\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 8\uc6d4 \ub9d0 1,318 \ud398\uc18c, 12\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uc740 1,505 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4.
    \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740 1500\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac10\uc18c\ud55c 416\uc5b5 9\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 1\uc77c \ub2f4\ubcf4 \ub300\ucd9c \uac70\ub798 \uc601\ud5a5
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc815\ud55c \uc9c0\uae09\uc900\ube44\uc728 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc774\ud6c4, \uc99d\uad8c \ub2f4\ubcf4 \ub300\ucd9c\uc5d0\uc11c \uac15\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4.
    \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ube44\uc815\uc0c1\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \ud558\ub8e8\uc9dc\ub9ac \ucf5c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc5f0 \uc57d 70% \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc7a5\uc911 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub294 \uc5f0 150%\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6e0\ub2e4.
    \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc758 \uc218\uc694 \ubd80\uc871\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub9c8\uac10\uc2dc\uac04\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub358 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c, \ud654\uc694\uc77c\uacfc \ub2ec\ub9ac \uc218\uc694\uc77c\uc5d0\ub294 \ud22c\uae30 \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc6b0\uc138\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc77c\ubd80 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\ub4e4\uc740 \uc7a5\uc911 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc744 \uc774\uc6a9\ud574 \ub2e8\uae30 \uac70\ub798\ub85c \uc774\uc775\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc744 \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ucca0\uc218\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0, \ud398\uc18c\ub97c \uc740\ud589\uc5d0 \ubc30\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \ub9c8\uac10\uc2dc\uac04\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  6. 7\uc6d4 \ubb34\uc5ed\ud751\uc790
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 7\uc6d4 \ubb34\uc5ed\ud751\uc790\ub294 9\uc5b5 8800\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud751\uc790\ub85c 2025\ub144 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc11c \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc561\uc218\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \ub298\uc5b4\ub0ac\uace0, \uc218\uc785\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9 \uce68\uccb4\uc640 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    INDEC\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc218\ucd9c\uc740 77\uc5b5 2700\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 7.5%\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uace0, \uc62c\ud574 6\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 3.1%\uac00 \ub298\uc5b4\ub0ac\ub2e4.
    \uc218\uc785\uc740 67\uc5b5 3800\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 17.7%\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc804\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 0.1% \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4.
    \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0\ub294 2024\ub144 12\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc791\ub144 7\uc6d4\ubcf4\ub2e4 4\uc5b5 7\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc801\ub2e4.
    \ubd80\ubb38\ubcc4 \uc138\ubd80\uc0ac\ud56d\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uba74
    \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc785 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, \uc218\ucd9c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub300\ub450\uc640 \uc721\ub958\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ud55c \ubc18\uba74 \uc11d\uc720\uc640 \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28\ub294 \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc62c\ud574 1~7\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc218\ucd9c\uc740 474\uc5b5 5800\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec (2024\ub144 \ub300\ube44 4.6% \uc99d\uac00)
    \uc218\uc785\uc740 436\uc5b5 9100\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec (31.7% \uc99d\uac00)\uc600\ub2e4.
    \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc774 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed\ud751\uc790\ub294 \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 69.1% \uac10\uc18c\ud55c 37\uc5b5 6700\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  7. \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0b4\ub9b4 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4
    \uce94\uc790\uc2a4\uc2dc\ud2f0 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5 \uc288\ubbf8\ub4dc\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\ub3c4 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c 2%\ub97c \uc0c1\ud68c\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \ucda9\ubd84\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\uc5b8\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc774 2%\ubcf4\ub2e4 3%\uc5d0 \uac00\uae5d\ub2e4\uace0 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.
    \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc870\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubd80\ucd94\uae38 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \ubc1c\uc5b8\uc740 \uce94\uc790\uc2a4\uc2dc\ud2f0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc8fc\ucd5c\ud558\ub294 \uc5f0\ub840\ud68c\uc758 \uc804\ub0a0\uc5d0 \ub098\uc654\uc73c\uba70, \uc774 \uc790\ub9ac\uc5d0\ub294 \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\ubc29 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5\ub3c4 \ucc38\uc11d\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \ud68c\uc758\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 7\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4.25~4.5%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c \ud6c4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 9\uc6d4 \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc5f4\ub9b0\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":9019,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,25,61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9018","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-noticias-argentina","category-informes-economicos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9018","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9018"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9018\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9019"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9018"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9018"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9018"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}