{"id":5104,"date":"2024-09-19T16:33:10","date_gmt":"2024-09-19T19:33:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=5104"},"modified":"2024-09-19T16:33:11","modified_gmt":"2024-09-19T19:33:11","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c9%ec%9b%94-19%ec%9d%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=5104","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(9\uc6d4 19\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. \ubbf8\uc5f0\uc900, \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac 0.5% \uc778\ud558
    \ubbf8\uc5f0\uc900 (FED)\uc740, \ub9c8\uce68\ub0b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud55c\ub300\ub85c \uc5b4\uc81c (9\uc6d4 18\uc77c) \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 0.5% \uc778\ud558\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\ub294 4\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucc98\uc74c\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub294 4.75 ~ 5%\uac00 \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    FED\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 2.3%, 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 2.1%\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc778 \uc5f0 2%\ub294 2026\ub144\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\ub904\uc84c\ub2e4.
    \uc2e4\uc5c5\ub960\uc740 \uc62c\ud574\uc640 \ub0b4\ub144 \ubaa8\ub450 4.4%\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud588\ub294\uac00 ?
    S&P 500\uc740, \ucc98\uc74c\uc5d0\ub294 0.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4.
    FED\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 2024\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0 0.5%\ub97c \ucd94\uac00 \uc778\ud558\ud558\uace0, 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 1%, 2026\ub144\uc740 0.5%\ub97c \uc778\ud558\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc18\uc751
    FED\uc758 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.
    \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucc44\uad8c\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 2.6% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574, \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\ub294 0.5% \uac10\uc18c\ud55c 1363bp\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    ADR\uc740 \ud63c\uc870\uc138\ub85c \ud558\ub8e8\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, FED \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300 4.7%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub6f0\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \ubc18\uba74 Merval \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 0.1% \uc624\ub974\ub294\ub370 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \ud658\uc728 \uaddc\uc81c\uc644\ud654
    \uad6d\uac00\uc790\uc0b0\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c (CNV)\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \ud558\ub8e8 2\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 CCL, MEP \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\uc785\ud560 \ub54c, 5\uc77c \uc804\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uace0\ud574\uc57c \ud588\ub358 \uc758\ubb34\uc0ac\ud56d\uc744 \ud3d0\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub610 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub098 \ub2f4\ubcf4\ub85c \ubc1b\uc740 \uac83\uc740 CCL, MEP \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uad6c\ub9e4\ud560\uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ud398\uc18c\ub85c \uc870\ub2ec\ud55c \uc790\uae08\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc744 \ubc1b\ub294\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uaddc\uc81c\uc644\ud654\ub294, \uc815\ubd80\uac00 CCL \ud658\uc728\uc744 \ud3d0\uc9c0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc644\uc804\ud55c \ucca0\ud3d0\ub294 A7340\uc744 \ube44\ub86f\ud55c \uba87\uac00\uc9c0 \uaddc\uc815\uc774 \ud574\uc81c\ub418\uc5b4\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \uc790\uc0b0 \uc591\uc131\ud654
    CNV\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0 \uc591\uc131\ud654 \uacc4\uc88c\uc758 \uc794\uc561\uc774 1500 UVA (\ud604\uc7ac 175\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec) \ub610\ub294 \uc785\uae08 \ucd1d\uc561\uc758 3%\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0,CERA \uacc4\uc88c\ub85c \uc774\uccb4\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8, \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1
    \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc740 \uc5b4\uc81c (9\uc6d4 18\uc77c) \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\ub294 \ub2ec\ub9ac \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \uc218\uc694\uc77c (\uc624\ub298)\ubd80\ud130 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 0.25% \uc778\uc0c1\ud55c 10.75%\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 2022\ub144 8\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uccab \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ubd88\uacfc \ub450\ub2ec \uc804\uae4c\uc9c0 7\ucc28\ub840 \uc5f0\uc18d \uae08\ub9ac\uc778\ud558\ub97c \ub2e8\ud589\ud588\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc758 8\uc6d4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc5f0 4.24%\ub85c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc778 \uc5f0 3%\uc640\ub294 \uac70\ub9ac\uac00 \uba40\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7f0 \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ud5e4\uc54c\ud654 \uac00\uce58 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uba70, \ud658\uc728\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uccd0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294\ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  6. \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uacb0\uc815
    IMF\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \ub300\ucd9c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc774\uc790 \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub294 IMF\uc5d0\uc11c 2018\ub144 \ub9c8\ub044\ub9ac \uc815\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c 450\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ucc28\uad00\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub294\ub370, 2020\ub144 \uc7ac\ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uac04 \uc57d 10\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc774\uc790\ub85c \uc9c0\ubd88\ud558\uae30\ub85c \ud569\uc758\ud55c \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc640 IMF\ub294, 10\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uac16\uace0, \uc774 \ubb38\uc81c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud569\uc758\ub97c \ub3c4\ucd9c\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  7. \ub300\ub450 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9
    FED \ubc1c\ud45c\uc640 \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc758 \uac74\uc870\ud558\uace0 \ub354\uc6b4 \ub0a0\uc528 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 \uace1\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ub450 \uc120\ubb3c\uac00\uaca9\uc740 0.8% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ud1a4\ub2f9 372.57 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.
    \ub300\ub450 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \ubcf4\uad00 \uc911\uc778 \ub300\ub450\ub97c \uccad\uc0b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud558\uc5ec, \uc678\ud654 \uc720\uc785\uc774 \ucee4\uc838, \uad6d\ub0b4\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc900\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  8. MEP \ud658\uc728, 10\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \uae34 \ud558\ub77d\uc138
    MEP \ud658\uc728\uc740 7\uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uacc4\uc18d\ud574\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub807\uac8c \uae34 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub294 2014\ub144 11\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    MEP \ud658\uc728\uc740, \uc774 \uae30\uac04\ub3d9\uc548 1,425 \ud398\uc18c\uc5d0\uc11c 1,215 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c 15%\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  9. \uba48\ucd94\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \ud558\ub77d
    INDEC \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ud574\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uace0\uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc62c\ud574 2\ubd84\uae30\uc5d0\ub294, \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \uc804\ubd84\uae30\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud574\ub3c4 \uac01\uac01 \ub611\uac19\uc774 1.7%\uc529 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc62c\ud574 \uc804\ubc18\uae30 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 GDP\ub294 2023\ub144 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 3.4% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub85c\uc368 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 3\ubd84\uae30 \uc5f0\uc18d \uacbd\uae30\ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  10. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc785
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc5b4\uc81c 3500\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0ac\ub4e4\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub85c\uc368 \uc774\ubc88\ub2ec \ud604\uc7ac\uae4c\uc9c0 7900\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub85c \uc904\uc600\ub2e4.
    Infobae\ub294 \uc774\uc640\uad00\ub828 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc6d4 2% \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \ud5c8\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ud06c\ub864\ub9c1 \ud398\uadf8\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub354 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc218\uce58\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ub418\uc5b4\uc57c\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc778\ub2e4.
    \ud658\uc728 \ub2e8\uc77c\ud654\uac00 \uc2dc\ud589\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc77c \uac83\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uadf8 \ud3ed\uc740 20%\uac00 \ub118\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":5105,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,25,61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5104","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-noticias-argentina","category-informes-economicos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5104","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5104"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5104\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5106,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5104\/revisions\/5106"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5105"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5104"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5104"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5104"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}