{"id":3760,"date":"2024-06-19T09:24:13","date_gmt":"2024-06-19T12:24:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=3760"},"modified":"2024-06-19T13:36:06","modified_gmt":"2024-06-19T16:36:06","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-2-6%ec%9b%94-18%ec%9d%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=3760","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c 2 (6\uc6d4 18\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c 2<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\ud658\uc728 \uaddc\uc81c \ucca0\ud3d0 \uc790\uae08<br>\uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \uaddc\uc81c\ub97c \ucca0\ud3d0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \uc870\ub2ec\ud558\uae30\ub97c \uc5f4\ub9dd\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uae30\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub294 \uc870\ub2ec\uc774 \ud798\ub4e4\ub2e4.<br>\uc790\ubcf8 \uc870\ub2ec\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \ud611\uc57d\uc744 \ud380\ub4dc\uac00 \ud560\uc218\uc5c6\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc774\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\ubbf8 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\uac00 \ub108\ubb34 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc678\ud658 \uaddc\uc81c\ub97c \ucca0\ud3d0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c \ud544\uc694\ud55c 150\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 IMF\ub9cc \uc870\ub2ec\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<br>\uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\uad8c\uc5d0 \ud611\ub825\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.<br>\ucee8\uc124\ud305\ud68c\uc0ac Eco Go\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \ud3c9\uac00\ud55c \ubc14\uc640 \uac19\uc774, \ud380\ub4dc\ub85c \ucd5c\ub300 50~60\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc870\ub2ec\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.<br>\uc774 \ub300\uc548\uc740 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud2b9\ubcc4 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\ub2ec\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uadf8\ub807\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uc138\uae08, \uc5f0\uae08 \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc9c0\ubc29 \uad50\ubd80\uae08<br>\uc774\ub7f0 \ub9e5\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ubd80\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc608\uc0b0\uc548\uc744 \uc77c\ubc18 \uc7ac\uc815 \uade0\ud615\uc744 \uc774\ub8e8\uace0, \uc608\uc0b0\uc548\uc73c\ub85c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud560 \uc815\ucc45 (\uad6c\ud638\uc870\uce58\uac00 \ub354 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uacf3)\uc758 \ubd84\ub958\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc2e0\ub8b0\uc131\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc870\uc815\uc758 \uc885\ud569\uc801\uc778 \uacc4\ud68d\uc744 \uc758\ud68c\uc5d0 \uc81c\ucd9c\ud560 \uac83\uc774\uba70, IMF\uc640 \uc138\ubd80\uc0ac\ud56d\uc744 \ub17c\uc758\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\uc5d0\ub530\ub77c \uc18c\ub4dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ud3ec\uad04\uc801\uc778 \uc138\uc81c \uac1c\ud601\uc774 \ud611\uc758\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574, \uc62c\ud574 10\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc644\ub8cc\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\ubc88 \uac1c\ud601\uc740, \uc870\uc138 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \ud6a8\uc728\uc131, \ud615\ud3c9\uc131, \ub2e8\uc21c\uc131\uc744 \uac1c\uc120\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uc5d0 \ub9cc\ub8cc\ub418\ub294 \ube44\uc0c1\uc2dd\uc801 \uc138\uae08, \ud2b9\ud788 Pa\u00eds \uc138\uae08\uc744 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3d0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud55c\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub178\ub825\uc744 \uc9c0\ucd9c \uac1c\ud601\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc644\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \ud1f4\uc9c1 \ubc0f \uc5f0\uae08 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uacfc \ud615\ud3c9\uc131\uc744 \uac1c\uc120\ud558\uace0, \uc7ac\uc815 \uccb4\uacc4\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc8fc\uc815\ubd80 \uad50\ubd80\uae08 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \uac1c\ud601 \uc77c\uc815\ud45c\ub97c 2024\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El Gobierno aspira a que un nuevo programa incluya tambi\u00e9n fondos frescos para financiar la salida del cepo pero el organismo multilateral enfrenta l\u00edmites cuando se trata de Argentina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lo que el Fondo no puede hacer, por estatuto, es financiar la salida de capitales. Pero tambi\u00e9n ya tiene una alta exposici\u00f3n al riesgo argentino que es dif\u00edcil de soslayar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Por eso, los u$s 15.000 millones que el Gobierno calcul\u00f3 que necesitar\u00eda para desarmar las restricciones cambiarias no podr\u00edan llegar \u00fanicamente del FMI. A eso se le suma, entonces, la posibilidad de que otros bancos multilaterales colaboran en la &#8216;vaquita&#8217; de la gesti\u00f3n Milei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Seg\u00fan evalu\u00f3 en los \u00faltimos d\u00edas la economista Marina Dal Poggetto, de la consultora EcoGo, el Fondo podr\u00eda aportar unos u$s 5000 o 6000 millones m\u00e1s &#8220;como mucho&#8221;. Una alternativa es que lo haga a trav\u00e9s de una l\u00ednea especial de corto plazo para fortalecer reservas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Reforma tributaria, jubilatoria y transferencias<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En ese marco, el gobierno presentar\u00e1 al Congreso un proyecto de presupuesto para 2025 &#8220;coherente con el equilibrio fiscal general, con un desglose de las pol\u00edticas que sustentan el proyecto de presupuesto (donde se necesitar\u00e1n m\u00e1s medidas estructurales) junto con una declaraci\u00f3n integral de riesgos fiscales para reforzar la credibilidad&#8221;, anticip\u00f3 el detalle del FMI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">En ese contexto &#8220;se est\u00e1 desarrollando una reforma tributaria integral y neutral desde el punto de vista de los ingresos, en consulta con las partes interesadas y los socios para el desarrollo&#8221; que se prev\u00e9 para finales de octubre de este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La reforma apunta a &#8220;mejorar la eficiencia, la equidad y la simplicidad del sistema tributario, al tiempo que se eliminan gradualmente los impuestos distorsionantes, en particular el impuesto PAIS&#8221;, que vence a fin de a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Para complementar estos esfuerzos con reformas del gasto, las autoridades tienen la intenci\u00f3n de desarrollar &#8220;una hoja de ruta para reformas fiscales adicionales para mejorar la sostenibilidad y la equidad del sistema previsional de jubilaciones y pensiones, y fortalecer los marcos fiscales, as\u00ed como el sistema de transferencias intergubernamentales para fines de 2024&#8221;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c 2 *\ud658\uc728 \uaddc\uc81c \ucca0\ud3d0 \uc790\uae08\uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \uaddc\uc81c\ub97c \ucca0\ud3d0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \uc870\ub2ec\ud558\uae30\ub97c \uc5f4\ub9dd\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uae30\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub294 \uc870\ub2ec\uc774 \ud798\ub4e4\ub2e4.\uc790\ubcf8 \uc870\ub2ec\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \ud611\uc57d\uc744 \ud380\ub4dc\uac00 \ud560\uc218\uc5c6\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc774\ub2e4.\uc774\ubbf8 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\uac00 \ub108\ubb34 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc774\uc720\ub85c \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc678\ud658 \uaddc\uc81c\ub97c \ucca0\ud3d0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c \ud544\uc694\ud55c 150\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 IMF\ub9cc \uc870\ub2ec\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.\uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\uad8c\uc5d0 \ud611\ub825\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ucd94\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.\ucee8\uc124\ud305\ud68c\uc0ac Eco Go\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \ud3c9\uac00\ud55c \ubc14\uc640 \uac19\uc774, \ud380\ub4dc\ub85c \ucd5c\ub300 50~60\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc870\ub2ec\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.\uc774 \ub300\uc548\uc740 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud2b9\ubcc4 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc870\ub2ec\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uadf8\ub807\uac8c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. *\uc138\uae08, \uc5f0\uae08 \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc9c0\ubc29 \uad50\ubd80\uae08\uc774\ub7f0 \ub9e5\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ubd80\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc608\uc0b0\uc548\uc744 \uc77c\ubc18 \uc7ac\uc815 \uade0\ud615\uc744 \uc774\ub8e8\uace0, \uc608\uc0b0\uc548\uc73c\ub85c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud560 \uc815\ucc45 (\uad6c\ud638\uc870\uce58\uac00 \ub354 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uacf3)\uc758 \ubd84\ub958\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc2e0\ub8b0\uc131\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc870\uc815\uc758 \uc885\ud569\uc801\uc778 \uacc4\ud68d\uc744 \uc758\ud68c\uc5d0 \uc81c\ucd9c\ud560 \uac83\uc774\uba70, IMF\uc640 \uc138\ubd80\uc0ac\ud56d\uc744 \ub17c\uc758\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.\uc774\uc5d0\ub530\ub77c \uc18c\ub4dd\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ud3ec\uad04\uc801\uc778 \uc138\uc81c \uac1c\ud601\uc774 \ud611\uc758\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574, \uc62c\ud574 10\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc644\ub8cc\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4.\uc774\ubc88 \uac1c\ud601\uc740, \uc870\uc138 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \ud6a8\uc728\uc131, \ud615\ud3c9\uc131, \ub2e8\uc21c\uc131\uc744 \uac1c\uc120\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uc5d0 \ub9cc\ub8cc\ub418\ub294 \ube44\uc0c1\uc2dd\uc801 \uc138\uae08, \ud2b9\ud788 Pa\u00eds \uc138\uae08\uc744 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3d0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud55c\ub2e4.\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub178\ub825\uc744 \uc9c0\ucd9c \uac1c\ud601\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc644\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \ud1f4\uc9c1 \ubc0f \uc5f0\uae08 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uacfc \ud615\ud3c9\uc131\uc744 \uac1c\uc120\ud558\uace0, \uc7ac\uc815 \uccb4\uacc4\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc8fc\uc815\ubd80 \uad50\ubd80\uae08 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \uac1c\ud601 \uc77c\uc815\ud45c\ub97c 2024\ub144 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud55c\ub2e4. El Gobierno aspira a que un nuevo programa incluya tambi\u00e9n fondos frescos para financiar la salida del cepo pero el organismo multilateral enfrenta l\u00edmites cuando se trata de Argentina. Lo que el Fondo no puede hacer, por estatuto, es financiar la salida de capitales. Pero tambi\u00e9n ya tiene una alta exposici\u00f3n al riesgo argentino que es dif\u00edcil de soslayar. Por eso, los u$s 15.000 millones que el Gobierno calcul\u00f3 que necesitar\u00eda para desarmar las restricciones cambiarias no podr\u00edan llegar \u00fanicamente del FMI. A eso se le suma, entonces, la posibilidad de que otros bancos multilaterales colaboran en la &#8216;vaquita&#8217; de la gesti\u00f3n Milei. Seg\u00fan evalu\u00f3 en los \u00faltimos d\u00edas la economista Marina Dal Poggetto, de la consultora EcoGo, el Fondo podr\u00eda aportar unos u$s 5000 o 6000 millones m\u00e1s &#8220;como mucho&#8221;. Una alternativa es que lo haga a trav\u00e9s de una l\u00ednea especial de corto plazo para fortalecer reservas. Reforma tributaria, jubilatoria y transferencias En ese marco, el gobierno presentar\u00e1 al Congreso un proyecto de presupuesto para 2025 &#8220;coherente con el equilibrio fiscal general, con un desglose de las pol\u00edticas que sustentan el proyecto de presupuesto (donde se necesitar\u00e1n m\u00e1s medidas estructurales) junto con una declaraci\u00f3n integral de riesgos fiscales para reforzar la credibilidad&#8221;, anticip\u00f3 el detalle del FMI. En ese contexto &#8220;se est\u00e1 desarrollando una reforma tributaria integral y neutral desde el punto de vista de los ingresos, en consulta con las partes interesadas y los socios para el desarrollo&#8221; que se prev\u00e9 para finales de octubre de este a\u00f1o. La reforma apunta a &#8220;mejorar la eficiencia, la equidad y la simplicidad del sistema tributario, al tiempo que se eliminan gradualmente los impuestos distorsionantes, en particular el impuesto PAIS&#8221;, que vence a fin de a\u00f1o. Para complementar estos esfuerzos con reformas del gasto, las autoridades tienen la intenci\u00f3n de desarrollar &#8220;una hoja de ruta para reformas fiscales adicionales para mejorar la sostenibilidad y la equidad del sistema previsional de jubilaciones y pensiones, y fortalecer los marcos fiscales, as\u00ed como el sistema de transferencias intergubernamentales para fines de 2024&#8221;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[53,23,25,61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-noticias","category-news","category-noticias-argentina","category-informes-economicos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3760","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3760"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3760\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3775,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3760\/revisions\/3775"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3760"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3760"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3760"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}