{"id":15522,"date":"2026-10-12T14:45:26","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T17:45:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=15522"},"modified":"2026-10-12T14:45:27","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T17:45:27","slug":"%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9d-1-%ec%95%84%eb%a5%b4%ed%97%a8%ed%8b%b0%eb%82%98-%ec%84%b8%ea%b3%84-%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%ad-%ec%a0%90%ec%9c%a0%ec%9c%a8-%ed%9a%8c%eb%b3%b5-2035%eb%85%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=15522","title":{"rendered":"[\uacbd\uc81c \uc18c\uc2dd 1] \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098, \uc138\uacc4 \ubb34\uc5ed \uc810\uc720\uc728 \ud68c\ubcf5 &#8230; 2035\ub144 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561 1,800\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"675\" height=\"453\" src=\"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/images-28.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15523\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.4901176227104964;width:295px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/images-28.jpg 675w, https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/images-28-300x201.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 675px) 100vw, 675px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098, \uc138\uacc4 \ubb34\uc5ed \uc810\uc720\uc728 \ud68c\ubcf5\u2026 2035\ub144 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561 1,800\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4 \ubb34\uc5ed \ube44\uc911\uc740 2023\ub144 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2024\ub144\ubd80\ud130 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc130\ub2e4. \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4 \uc0c1\ud488 \uc218\ucd9c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc740 \uc774\ud6c4 37% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc774 1,000\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc124 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4.<br>\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4\uba74 2035\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc774 \uc57d 1,800\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4.<br>\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uad6d\uc81c\uc0c1\uacf5\ud68c\uc758\uc18c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc9c0\ubd80 \ud68c\uc7a5\uc774\uc790 DNI \ucee8\uc124\ud1a0\ub808\uc2a4\uc758 \uc0ac\ubb34\ucd1d\uc7a5\uc778 \ub9c8\ub974\uc140\ub85c \uc5d8\ub9ac\uc190\ub3c4\uac00 \uc791\uc131\ud55c \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \uadfc\uac70\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uad6d\ub9bd\ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(INDEC), \uc138\uacc4\uc740\ud589, \uc138\uacc4\ubb34\uc5ed\uae30\uad6c(WTO)\uc758 \uacfc\uac70 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc640 \ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ubcc4 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc885\ud569\ud574 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c \uc131\uc7a5 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4.<br>\uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc1a1\uc720\uad00\uacfc \uad11\uc0b0 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\uac00 \uac00\ub3d9\ub418\uace0, \ub18d\uc5c5\u00b7\ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c \uac00\uacf5\uc0b0\uc5c5\uacfc \uc9c0\uc2dd \uae30\ubc18 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uac00 \uc678\ud654 \uc218\uc785\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\ucc9c\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac \uc7a1\uc73c\uba74 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c4\ucd9c \uad6c\uc870\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub294 \uc138\uacc4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \uc783\uc5b4\ubc84\ub9b0 \uc785\uc9c0\ub97c \ub418\ucc3e\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uae4c?<br>\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub294 \uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \ub2e4\ub978 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub4a4\ucc98\uc84c\ub2e4.<br>\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uad6d\uc81c \ubb34\uc5ed \ube44\uc911\uc740 \uc624\ub7ab\ub3d9\uc548 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ubc18\ubcf5\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4. 1960\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc138\uacc4 \uc0c1\ud488 \uc218\ucd9c\uc758 0.81%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ud6c4 \uac70\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<br>\uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \ub2e4\ub978 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ub354\uc6b1 \ubd84\uba85\ud574\uc9c4\ub2e4.<br>2000\ub144\ubd80\ud130 2025\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uba85\ubaa9 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc740 \ud398\ub8e8\uac00 9.25\ubc30, \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc774 6.28\ubc30 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uce60\ub808\ub294 5.50\ubc30, \ucf54\uc2a4\ud0c0\ub9ac\uce74\ub294 5.60\ubc30 \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \uc804\uccb4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc740 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04 5.92\ubc30 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. 2000\ub144 3,490\uc5b5 6,800\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 2\uc870 682\uc5b5 6,100\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub77c\ub294 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\ub300 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4.<br>\ubc18\uba74 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc740 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04 2.78\ubc30 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc758 \uc808\ubc18\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubbf8\uce58\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.<br>\uc5d8\ub9ac\uc190\ub3c4\uc758 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\uccb4\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc624\ud788\ub824 \uc218\uc2ed \ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc65c\uace1\uc774 \uc218\ucd9c \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ubb3c\ub7c9\uacfc \uc0c1\ud488\uc758 \uacf5\uae09\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<br>\uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc778\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc678\ud658 \uac70\ub798 \uc81c\ud55c, \ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc138\uae08 \ubd80\ub2f4, \uc778\ud504\ub77c \ubd80\uc871, \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc790\uc720\ubb34\uc5ed\ud611\uc815\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ubb34\uc5ed\ud611\uc815\uc758 \ubd80\uc7ac \ub4f1\uc774 \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub410\ub2e4.<br>2023\ub144\uc758 \uadf9\uc2ec\ud55c \uac00\ubb44 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub3c4 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\uc758 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubc30\uacbd\uc774\ub2e4.<br>\uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc744 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud574\ub3c4 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \ub300\uc678 \uac1c\ubc29\ub3c4\uac00 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub09c\ub2e4.<br>\ud30c\ub098\ub9c8\ub294 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc774 GDP\uc758 44.4%, \uba55\uc2dc\ucf54\ub294 39.6%, \uce60\ub808\ub294 34.6%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub294 2025~2026\ub144 \uae30\uc900 15.6%\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc758 17.8%\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub3c4 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2024\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc138\uacc4 \ud3c9\uade0\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc131\uc7a5\ud55c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc218\ucd9c<br>\uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ubc14\ub00c\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud55c \uac83\uc740 2024\ub144\uc774\ub2e4.<br>\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4 \uc0c1\ud488 \uc218\ucd9c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc740 2023\ub144 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\uc778 0.29%\uc5d0\uc11c 2024\ub144 0.34%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 0.37%\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0\ub294 0.39%\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4.<br>\uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc774 \uba87 \ud37c\uc13c\ud2b8\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\ub9cc\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc138\uacc4 \ubb34\uc5ed \uaddc\ubaa8\uac00 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \uad6d\uc81c \ubb34\uc5ed \uc804\uccb4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub978 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud68c\ubcf5\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4.<br>\uccab\uc9f8, 2023\ub144 \ub18d\uc5c5 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub9c9\ub300\ud55c \ud53c\ud574\ub97c \uc785\ud614\ub358 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc778 \uac00\ubb44\uc774 \ub05d\ub098\uba74\uc11c \ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud68c\ubcf5\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uac00\ubb44\uc740 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc744 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\ub728\ub9ac\ub294 \ub370 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.<br>\ub458\uc9f8, \ubc14\uce74 \ubb34\uc5d0\ub974\ud0c0(Vaca Muerta) \uc720\uc804\uc9c0\ub300\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc218\ucd9c \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc11d\uc720\uc640 \uac00\uc2a4 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc774 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4.<br>\uc14b\uc9f8, \ud0c4\ud654\uc218\uc18c\ub97c \uc6b4\uc1a1\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc778\ud504\ub77c \uad6c\ucd95\ub3c4 \uc9c4\uc804\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c 2035\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc218\ucd9c\uc744 \uc774\ub04c \ub124 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ub825<br>\uc5d8\ub9ac\uc190\ub3c4\uac00 \uc791\uc131\ud55c 2026<del>2035\ub144 \uc804\ub9dd \ubaa8\ub378\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc740 2026\ub144 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc778 1,051\uc5b5 5,000\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 2035\ub144 1,799\uc5b5 4,500\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4.<br>\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc218\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ub9e4\ub144 \uc77c\uc815\ud55c \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uc778\ud504\ub77c\uac00 \uc644\uacf5\ub418\uace0 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ud22c\uc790\uac00 \ubcf8\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0 \uc131\uc7a5 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ube68\ub77c\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<br>\uccab \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ub825\uc740 \ub18d\uc5c5\uacfc \ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c \uac00\uacf5\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc774\ub2e4.<br>\ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc218\ud655\uacfc \uace1\ubb3c \ubc0f \uac00\uacf5\ud488\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c \uc5ec\ub825 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc774 2024<\/del>2026\ub144\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\ub97c \uc774\ub04c\uc5c8\ub2e4. 2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc774 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\uccb4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 19.1% \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4.<br>\ub450 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ub825\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc774\ub2e4.<br>2027\ub144 \ucd08\uc5d0\ub294 \ubc14\uce74 \ubb34\uc5d0\ub974\ud0c0 \uc624\uc77c \uc218\ub974(Vaca Muerta Oil Sur) \uc1a1\uc720\uad00\uc774 \uac00\ub3d9\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc1a1\uc720\uad00\uc740 \uc5f0\uac04 \ucd5c\ub300 150\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\ucd9c\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uac8c \ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4.<br>\uac00\uc2a4 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \uc778\ud504\ub77c \ud655\ucda9\ub3c4 \uc218\ucd9c \ud655\ub300\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 2027\ub144 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc740 8.5%\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4.<br>\uc138 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ub825\uc740 \uad11\uc5c5\uc774\ub2e4.<br>2028<del>2030\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uad11\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\uc774 \ubcf8\uaca9\ud654\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub9ac\ud2ac \uc9c1\uc811\ucd94\ucd9c \uae30\uc220\uc774 \uc131\uc219\ud558\uace0, \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uad6c\ub9ac \uad11\uc0b0 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\ub4e4\uc774 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ud22c\uc790 \uc778\uc13c\ud2f0\ube0c \uc81c\ub3c4(RIGI)\uc758 \uc9c0\uc6d0 \uc544\ub798 \uac00\ub3d9\uc744 \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\uc640 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ud655\ub300\uac00 \ud604\uc2e4\ud654\ud558\uba74 2030\ub144 \uc218\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc740 9.4%\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub54c \uc804\uccb4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc740 1,429\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4.<br>\ub124 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ub825\uc740 \uc9c0\uc2dd \uae30\ubc18 \uacbd\uc81c\ub2e4.<br>\uc804\ubb38 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ub4f1 \ubd80\uac00\uac00\uce58\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc9c0\uc2dd \uae30\ubc18 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc740 2031<\/del>2035\ub144\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\ubbf8 2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774 \ubd84\uc57c\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc740 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 6\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc9c0\uc2dd \uae30\ubc18 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc740 104\uc5b5 9,300\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 10.2% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2035\ub144, \uc138\uacc4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc704\uc0c1\uc740 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8\uae4c?<br>\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc2e4\ud604\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4 \uc0c1\ud488 \uc218\ucd9c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc740 2035\ub144 \uc57d 0.55%\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\ub294 1970\ub144\ub300 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc 1960\ub144\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 0.81%\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubbf8\uce58\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c\ub2e4.<br>\uacb0\uad6d \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\ucd9c \uac15\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \ub3c4\uc57d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0\ub294 \ub18d\uc5c5\uacfc \ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c \uac00\uacf5\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc758 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0, \uad11\uc5c5, \uc9c0\uc2dd \uae30\ubc18 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ubc0f \uc218\ucd9c \ub2a5\ub825\uc744 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ud655\ub300\ud558\ub290\ub0d0\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc778\ud504\ub77c \ud22c\uc790\uc640 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ud658\uacbd, \uad6d\uc81c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc811\uadfc\uc131 \uac1c\uc120\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud604\uc2e4\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc870\uac74\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098, \uc138\uacc4 \ubb34\uc5ed \uc810\uc720\uc728 \ud68c\ubcf5\u2026 2035\ub144 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561 1,800\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc804\ub9dd \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4 \ubb34\uc5ed \ube44\uc911\uc740 2023\ub144 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2024\ub144\ubd80\ud130 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc130\ub2e4. \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4 \uc0c1\ud488 \uc218\ucd9c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc740 \uc774\ud6c4 37% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc774 1,000\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc124 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4.\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4\uba74 2035\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc774 \uc57d 1,800\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \ub098\uc654\ub2e4.\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uad6d\uc81c\uc0c1\uacf5\ud68c\uc758\uc18c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc9c0\ubd80 \ud68c\uc7a5\uc774\uc790 DNI \ucee8\uc124\ud1a0\ub808\uc2a4\uc758 \uc0ac\ubb34\ucd1d\uc7a5\uc778 \ub9c8\ub974\uc140\ub85c \uc5d8\ub9ac\uc190\ub3c4\uac00 \uc791\uc131\ud55c \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \uadfc\uac70\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uad6d\ub9bd\ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(INDEC), \uc138\uacc4\uc740\ud589, \uc138\uacc4\ubb34\uc5ed\uae30\uad6c(WTO)\uc758 \uacfc\uac70 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc640 \ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ubcc4 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc885\ud569\ud574 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c \uc131\uc7a5 \uacbd\ub85c\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4.\uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc1a1\uc720\uad00\uacfc \uad11\uc0b0 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\uac00 \uac00\ub3d9\ub418\uace0, \ub18d\uc5c5\u00b7\ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c \uac00\uacf5\uc0b0\uc5c5\uacfc \uc9c0\uc2dd \uae30\ubc18 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uac00 \uc678\ud654 \uc218\uc785\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\ucc9c\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac \uc7a1\uc73c\uba74 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc9c4\ucd9c \uad6c\uc870\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub294 \uc138\uacc4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \uc783\uc5b4\ubc84\ub9b0 \uc785\uc9c0\ub97c \ub418\ucc3e\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uae4c?\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub294 \uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \ub2e4\ub978 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub4a4\ucc98\uc84c\ub2e4.\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uad6d\uc81c \ubb34\uc5ed \ube44\uc911\uc740 \uc624\ub7ab\ub3d9\uc548 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \ubc18\ubcf5\ud574 \uc654\ub2e4. 1960\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc138\uacc4 \uc0c1\ud488 \uc218\ucd9c\uc758 0.81%\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ud6c4 \uac70\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.\uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \ub2e4\ub978 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ub354\uc6b1 \ubd84\uba85\ud574\uc9c4\ub2e4.2000\ub144\ubd80\ud130 2025\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uba85\ubaa9 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc740 \ud398\ub8e8\uac00 9.25\ubc30, \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc774 6.28\ubc30 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uce60\ub808\ub294 5.50\ubc30, \ucf54\uc2a4\ud0c0\ub9ac\uce74\ub294 5.60\ubc30 \ub298\uc5c8\ub2e4.\uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \uc804\uccb4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc740 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04 5.92\ubc30 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. 2000\ub144 3,490\uc5b5 6,800\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 2\uc870 682\uc5b5 6,100\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub77c\ub294 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\ub300 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub410\ub2e4.\ubc18\uba74 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc740 \uac19\uc740 \uae30\uac04 2.78\ubc30 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc758 \uc808\ubc18\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubbf8\uce58\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.\uc5d8\ub9ac\uc190\ub3c4\uc758 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\uccb4\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \ubd80\uc871\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc624\ud788\ub824 \uc218\uc2ed \ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc65c\uace1\uc774 \uc218\ucd9c \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ubb3c\ub7c9\uacfc \uc0c1\ud488\uc758 \uacf5\uae09\uc744 \uc81c\uc57d\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.\uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc778\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc678\ud658 \uac70\ub798 \uc81c\ud55c, \ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc138\uae08 \ubd80\ub2f4, \uc778\ud504\ub77c \ubd80\uc871, \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc790\uc720\ubb34\uc5ed\ud611\uc815\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ubb34\uc5ed\ud611\uc815\uc758 \ubd80\uc7ac \ub4f1\uc774 \uc9c0\ubaa9\ub410\ub2e4.2023\ub144\uc758 \uadf9\uc2ec\ud55c \uac00\ubb44 \uc774\ud6c4 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub3c4 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\uc758 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubc30\uacbd\uc774\ub2e4.\uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc744 \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud574\ub3c4 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \ub300\uc678 \uac1c\ubc29\ub3c4\uac00 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub09c\ub2e4.\ud30c\ub098\ub9c8\ub294 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc774 GDP\uc758 44.4%, \uba55\uc2dc\ucf54\ub294 39.6%, \uce60\ub808\ub294 34.6%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud55c\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub294 2025~2026\ub144 \uae30\uc900 15.6%\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uc758 17.8%\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub3c4 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. 2024\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc138\uacc4 \ud3c9\uade0\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc131\uc7a5\ud55c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc218\ucd9c\uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ubc14\ub00c\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud55c \uac83\uc740 2024\ub144\uc774\ub2e4.\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4 \uc0c1\ud488 \uc218\ucd9c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc740 2023\ub144 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\uc778 0.29%\uc5d0\uc11c 2024\ub144 0.34%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 0.37%\ub85c \ub192\uc544\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, 2026\ub144 \ub9d0\uc5d0\ub294 0.39%\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4.\uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc810\uc740 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc774 \uba87 \ud37c\uc13c\ud2b8\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\ub9cc\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc138\uacc4 \ubb34\uc5ed \uaddc\ubaa8\uac00 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \uad6d\uc81c \ubb34\uc5ed \uc804\uccb4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub978 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4.\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud68c\ubcf5\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4.\uccab\uc9f8, 2023\ub144 \ub18d\uc5c5 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub9c9\ub300\ud55c \ud53c\ud574\ub97c \uc785\ud614\ub358 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc778 \uac00\ubb44\uc774 \ub05d\ub098\uba74\uc11c \ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud68c\ubcf5\ub410\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \uac00\ubb44\uc740 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc744 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\ub728\ub9ac\ub294 \ub370 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.\ub458\uc9f8, \ubc14\uce74 \ubb34\uc5d0\ub974\ud0c0(Vaca Muerta) \uc720\uc804\uc9c0\ub300\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc218\ucd9c \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc11d\uc720\uc640 \uac00\uc2a4 \ubb3c\ub7c9\uc774 \ub298\uc5b4\ub098\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4.\uc14b\uc9f8, \ud0c4\ud654\uc218\uc18c\ub97c \uc6b4\uc1a1\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc778\ud504\ub77c \uad6c\ucd95\ub3c4 \uc9c4\uc804\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c 2035\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc218\ucd9c\uc744 \uc774\ub04c \ub124 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc131\uc7a5 \ub3d9\ub825\uc5d8\ub9ac\uc190\ub3c4\uac00 \uc791\uc131\ud55c 20262035\ub144 \uc804\ub9dd \ubaa8\ub378\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc740 2026\ub144 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc778 1,051\uc5b5 5,000\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 2035\ub144 1,799\uc5b5 4,500\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4.\ub2e4\ub9cc \uc218\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ub9e4\ub144 \uc77c\uc815\ud55c \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uc778\ud504\ub77c\uac00 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\uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.\uc774\ubbf8 2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc774 \ubd84\uc57c\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc740 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 6\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 2026\ub144 6\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc9c0\uc2dd \uae30\ubc18 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc561\uc740 104\uc5b5 9,300\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uae30 \ub300\ube44 10.2% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. 2035\ub144, \uc138\uacc4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc704\uc0c1\uc740 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8\uae4c?\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc2e4\ud604\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc138\uacc4 \uc0c1\ud488 \uc218\ucd9c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc810\uc720\uc728\uc740 2035\ub144 \uc57d 0.55%\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.\uc774\ub294 1970\ub144\ub300 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub358 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc 1960\ub144\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 0.81%\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubbf8\uce58\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c\ub2e4.\uacb0\uad6d \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\ucd9c \uac15\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \ub3c4\uc57d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0\ub294 \ub18d\uc5c5\uacfc \ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c \uac00\uacf5\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc758 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0, \uad11\uc5c5, \uc9c0\uc2dd \uae30\ubc18 \uc11c\ube44\uc2a4\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \ubc0f \uc218\ucd9c \ub2a5\ub825\uc744 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ud655\ub300\ud558\ub290\ub0d0\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc778\ud504\ub77c \ud22c\uc790\uc640 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ud658\uacbd, \uad6d\uc81c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc811\uadfc\uc131 \uac1c\uc120\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc131\uc7a5 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ud604\uc2e4\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc870\uac74\uc774 \ub420 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