{"id":15441,"date":"2026-10-07T15:49:28","date_gmt":"2026-10-07T18:49:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=15441"},"modified":"2026-10-07T15:49:30","modified_gmt":"2026-10-07T18:49:30","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c10%ec%9b%94-07%ec%9d%bc-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=15441","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(10\uc6d4 07\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. REM, 2027\ub144 \ud658\uc728 \ubd88\uc548\uacfc \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 2\ubd84\uae30 \uc5f0\uc18d \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uc131\uc7a5 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131 \uc608\uc0c1
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BCRA)\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\uc870\uc0ac(REM)\ub294 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ub9d0 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud658\uc728\uc744 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub2f9 1,614\ud398\uc18c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud5a5\ud6c4 12\uac1c\uc6d4 \ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 1,945\ud398\uc18c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc5f0\uac04 28.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uac8c \ub418\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 21.1%\uc758 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc728\uc744 \uc6c3\ub3cc\uac8c \ub41c\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc608\uc0b0\uc548\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c \ubaa9\ud45c\uc640 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud65c\ub3d9\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub418\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uad6d\ub0b4\ucd1d\uc0dd\uc0b0(GDP)\uc740 7\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 1% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub450 \ubd84\uae30 \uc5f0\uc18d \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud558\uac8c \ub41c\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubbfc\uac04 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 2026\ub144 \uc804\uccb4 \uacbd\uc81c\uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 1.5%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uc5d0 \uc18c\ud3ed\uc758 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ubb3c\uac00 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc6d4\uac04 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 1.6~1.8% \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uac04 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 30%\uc5d0 \uc774\ub97c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8 \ub300\uc120 \uc601\ud5a5, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc790\uc0b0 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud574 \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 573\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub85c \ud558\ub77d
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ucc44\uad8c\uacfc \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc774 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4.
    \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc120\uac70 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc640 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8\uc120\ud638 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud45c\uc2dc \uad6d\ucc44\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 1.5%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ud2b9\ud788 2046\ub144\ubb3c, 2035\ub144\ubb3c, 2030\ub144\ubb3c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ucc44\uad8c(Globales)\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uad6d\ub0b4\ubc95 \uc801\uc6a9 \ucc44\uad8c\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c JP Morgan\uc774 \uc0b0\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\ub294 26\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ub77d\ud55c 573bp\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 S&P Merval \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 0.95% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc640 \uc740\ud589 \uc5c5\uc885\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc774\ub04c\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uac15\ud55c \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ubc1b\uc740 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ucc38\uac00\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ucd94\uc138 \uc804\ud658\uc778\uc9c0, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc778\uc9c0\ub97c \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\ub824 \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc785, \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 490\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub3cc\ud30c
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud68c\ubcf5\ub410\ub2e4.
    \ucd5c\uadfc \ud558\ub8e8 \ub3d9\uc548 3\uc5b52,600\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ucd1d \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740 491\uc5b52,300\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub298\uc5b4\ub0ac\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc 15\uc77c \uc911 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc99d\uac00\ub294 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc774\ub0a0 4,100\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc21c\ub9e4\uc785\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 7\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 10\uc6d4 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc11c\ub9cc 1\uc5b58,300\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc785\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc62c\ud574 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ub9e4\uc785\ud55c \uc678\ud654\ub294 \ucd1d \uc57d 147\uc5b55,000\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \uc77c\uc77c \ub9e4\uc785 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub294 8\uc6d4\uacfc 9\uc6d4\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube68\ub77c\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc62c\ud574 \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbf8\uce58\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc5f0\ub9d0\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub18d\uc5c5 \uc218\ucd9c\uc5c5\uccb4\ub4e4\uc774 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc720\uc785\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc218\ucd9c\ub300\uae08\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \ub298\ub9ac\uae30\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc640\uad00\ub828 Infobae \uc9c0\uc5d0 \uac8c\uc7ac\ub41c Wise Capital \ud22c\uc790\ud68c\uc0ac\uc758 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.
    \u201c10\uc6d4 \ucd08\ubd80\ud130 \ud558\ub8e8 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc678\ud658 \ub9e4\uc785 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 8\uc6d4\uacfc 9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ub41c \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc678\ud654 \ud761\uc218 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc62c\ud574 \uc911\ubc18\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uacfc\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uac70\ub9ac\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.\u201d<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728 \uc815\uccb4, \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d
    \ub3c4\ub9e4\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uac70\ub798\uc77c\uc744 \uac70\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc5c6\uc774 \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ub9e4\uc218 1,511\ud398\uc18c, \ub9e4\ub3c4 1,520\ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ud615\uc131\ub410\ub2e4.
    \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc548\uc815\ub418\uace0 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \uac70\uc758 \uc5c6\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.
    \uacf5\uc2dd \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uac83\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc 3\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub358 \ud604\uc0c1\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ud3b8 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uad00\ub828 \uc0c1\ud488\ub4e4\uc774 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    MEP \ud658\uc728\uc740 1,541.1\ud398\uc18c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4.
    CCL \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.40% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 1,609.22\ud398\uc18c\uac00 \ub410\ub2e4.
    \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc790\uae08 \uc870\ub2ec \uae08\ub9ac\ub3c4 \ud06c\uac8c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.
    TAMAR(\uace0\uc561 \uc608\uae08) \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 BADLAR(\uace0\uc561 \uc608\uae08 \ud3c9\uade0) \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ubaa8\ub450 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uac70\uc758 1%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9, \uc6d4\uac00\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138 \uc8fc\ucda4
    \uc804\ub0a0 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub358 \ub274\uc695 \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uac1c\uc7a5 \uc804 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ub099\uad00\ub860\uc774 \uc57d\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00 \uae30\uc900\uc778 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9\uc758 \uc804\uc7c1 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\ub2e4.
    \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d 30\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 5.70%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 2002\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud68c\uc758\ub85d \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uae30\ub2e4\ub9ac\uba74\uc11c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \ud30c\uc545\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ub2e8\uc11c\ub97c \ucc3e\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \ub2ec\uc5d0\ub294 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \ucabd\uc5d0 \uae30\uc6b8\uc5b4 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, 12\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \uae08\ub9ac \uc870\uc815\uc774 \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \ubc30\uc81c\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":15442,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,25,61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15441","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-noticias-argentina","category-informes-economicos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15441","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15441"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15441\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/15442"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15441"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15441"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15441"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}