{"id":15297,"date":"2026-09-29T20:32:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T23:32:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=15297"},"modified":"2026-09-29T20:32:02","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T23:32:02","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c09%ec%9b%94-29%ec%9d%bc-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=15297","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(09\uc6d4 29\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 \ub300\ud3ed \uac10\uc18c, \uae08\uac12 \uae09\ub77d \uc601\ud5a5
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BCRA)\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc774 8\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uba74\uc11c 479\uc5b57,600\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4.
    \ucd5c\uadfc \ud558\ub8e8 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740 2\uc5b56,900\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \ud070 \ud3ed \ud558\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ucd1d\uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 3\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e0 \uac83\uc774 \uacb0\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc774\ub0a0 3.80% \ud558\ub77d\ud574 \ucd5c\uadfc 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc0ac\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub099\ud3ed\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uae08\uac12 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uacf5\uc2dd \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc785\uc744 \uc7ac\uac1c\ud55c \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc774\ub0a0 1,100\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc785\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 9\uc6d4 \ub204\uc801 \ub9e4\uc785\uc561\uc740 2\uc5b54,300\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4.
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 \ud558\ub8e8 \uc804\uccb4 \uc678\ud658 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc758 \uc57d 2%\uc5d0 \ubd88\uacfc\ud588\ub2e4. \uc6d4\uac04 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 \ucd95\uc801 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub3c4 \uc9c0\ub09c 5\uc6d4\uacfc 6\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ub410\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub454\ud654\ub294 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 \ud751\uc790 \uac10\uc18c\uc640 \uad00\ub828\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc218\ucd9c\uc5c5\uccb4\ub4e4\uc758 \uc678\ud654 \ub9e4\uac01 \uaddc\ubaa8\uac00 \uc904\uc5c8\uace0 \ubbfc\uac04\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uacf5\uae09\ub3c4 \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc800\ucd95 \ubaa9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0ac\ub4e4\uc774\ub824\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc57d 18\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uacf5\uae09 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uac10\uc18c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \ub3c4\ub9e4\ud658\uc728 1\ud398\uc18c \ud558\ub77d\u2026\ud658\ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694\uc640 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785\uc774 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9b0 \ud558\ub8e8
    \ub3c4\ub9e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\uc740 1\ud398\uc18c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 1\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub2f9 1,524.50\ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18\uc5d0\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc218 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ub298\uba74\uc11c \ucd08\ubc18 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\uac00 \ubc18\uc804\ub410\ub2e4.
    \ud604\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac70\ub798\uc561\uc740 6\uc5b57,950\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 17\uc5b56,800\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.
    \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uae08\uc735\ud658\uc728 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac1c\uc785\uc774 \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ube44\uacf5\uc2dd\u00b7\uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    MEP \ud658\uc728\uc740 1,555.31\ud398\uc18c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, CCL \ud658\uc728\uc740 2% \uc62c\ub77c 1,631.13\ud398\uc18c\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc120\ubb3c\ud658\uc728 \uace1\uc120\uc740 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \ub2e8\uae30\ubb3c\ub3c4 \uc18c\ud3ed \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4.
    \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc5ed\uc2dc \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. BADLAR(\uace0\uc561 \uc608\uae08 \ud3c9\uade0) \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 1%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc774\uc0c1 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 21.94%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ud604\uc7ac \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ud658\ud5e4\uc9c0 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc640\uad00\ub828 Wise Capital \ud22c\uc790\ud68c\uc0ac\ub294 Infobae \uc9c0\uc5d0 \uac8c\uc7ac\ub41c \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc785 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc9c0\ub09c \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ub9e4\uc785\uc774 \uc911\ub2e8\ub41c \uc810\uc774 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ub354\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub610\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc2e0\ud765\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc6d4\ub9d0 \ud658\uc728 \uae30\uc900\uac00\uaca9 \uc0b0\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc744 \uc9c0\ub09c \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ubcf4\uc77c\uc9c0 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \ucc44\uad8c \uae09\ub77d\u2026\uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\uc9c0\uc218 628\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uad6d\ucc44\uc640 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc774 \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 19bp \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 628bp\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70 \ucd5c\uadfc 6\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc0ac\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc790\uae08\uc870\ub2ec \uc5ec\uac74\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc6b0\ub824\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735\ud658\uacbd\uae4c\uc9c0 \uacb9\ucce4\ub2e4.
    \ubbf8\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc73c\ub85c \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \ud734\uc804\uc548\uc774 \uac70\ubd80\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4 \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\ub294 \uc57d 2% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uac00 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc870\uc815\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ub192\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 Global GD36\uacfc Bonar AL35\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ubd80\uc5d0\ub178\uc2a4\uc544\uc774\ub808\uc2a4 \uc99d\uc2dc\uc758 S&P Merval \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 3.3% \uae09\ub77d\ud558\uba70 2025\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac14\ub2e4.
    \ub274\uc695\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uae30\uc5c5 ADR\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\ud3ed\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud574 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc885\ubaa9\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 8.4%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \uc815\ubd80, 8\uc8706,000\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c \ubd80\ucc44 \uc804\uc561 \ucc28\ud658 \uc131\uacf5
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c\ubd80\ub294 \ud398\uc18c\ud654\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ub41c \ub9cc\uae30 \ub3c4\ub798 \uad6d\ucc44\uc758 100%\ub97c \ucc28\ud658\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc131\uacf5\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc740 \ucd1d 9\uc8707,700\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c\uc758 \ub9e4\uc785 \uc81c\uc548\uc744 \ubc1b\uc544 \uc774 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 8\uc8706,200\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c\ub97c \ub099\ucc30\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30\uc740 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\uc131\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 9\uc6d4 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uc785\ucc30\ub85c \uc9c4\ud589\ub410\ub2e4.
    \uc55e\uc11c \uc57d 5\uc870 \ud398\uc18c \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ucc44\ubb34 \uad50\ud658\uc744 \uc2e4\uc2dc\ud55c \uac83\uc774 \uc774\ubc88 \ucc28\ud658 \uc791\uc5c5\uc758 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \uc904\uc774\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub410\ub2e4.
    \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ubab0\ub9b0 \uc0c1\ud488\uc740 2027\ub144 7\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 BONTAM\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ucc44\uad8c\uc5d0\ub294 \uc804\uccb4 \uc218\uc694\uc758 3\ubd84\uc758 1 \uc774\uc0c1\uc774 \uc9d1\uc911\ub410\ub2e4.
    \ub099\ucc30\ub41c \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\ub294 \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ube44\ub86f\ud574 CER(\ubb3c\uac00\uc5f0\ub3d9), TAMAR \uae08\ub9ac \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ubc0f \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc5f0\ub3d9(Dollar Linked) \uc0c1\ud488 \ub4f1\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub410\ub2e4.
    LECAP\uc758 \uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 2.17%\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \ubb3c\uac00\uc5f0\ub3d9 \uc0c1\ud488\uc740 5.97%\uc758 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\ub294 \ub354 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488\uc774\ub098 Bonar 29\uc758 \uc2e0\uaddc \ubc1c\ud589\uc740 \ud3ec\ud568\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \uc785\ucc30 \uacb0\uacfc\ub85c \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ub9cc\uae30\uac00 \ub3c4\ub798\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc0c1\ud658 \uc758\ubb34\ub97c \uc804\uc561 \ucc28\ud658\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ub410\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \uace0\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \uad6d\uc81c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784
    \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc815\uaddc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc7a5\uc744 \uc55e\ub454 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4.
    S&P 500 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 0.13%, \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uc740 0.27%, \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud3c9\uade0\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 0.11% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \uc790\uae08\uc870\ub2ec \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \uae30\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI) \uc0b0\uc5c5\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uacf5\uacf5 \ubc0f \uae30\uc5c5 \ubd80\ucc44 \uc99d\uac00\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uad00\uc2ec\uc0ac\ub85c \ub5a0\uc624\ub974\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ubbf8\uad6d 10\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 5.2%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c \ucd5c\uadfc 20\ub144 \uc0ac\uc774 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud1b5\ud654 \ub300\ube44 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ud3b8 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 96.85\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0\uc6d0\uc720(WTI)\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 91.70\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.
    \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \ubbf8\uad6d \uace0\uc6a9 \ubc0f \ubb3c\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4\uc758 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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