{"id":14223,"date":"2026-08-19T09:02:37","date_gmt":"2026-08-19T12:02:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=14223"},"modified":"2026-08-19T09:02:38","modified_gmt":"2026-08-19T12:02:38","slug":"%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ec%86%8c%ec%8b%9d-2-%ec%95%84%eb%a5%b4%ed%97%a8%ed%8b%b0%eb%82%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d%ec%9d%80-%eb%82%99%ea%b4%80%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%b4%ec%a7%80%eb%a7%8c-%ec%8b%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=14223","title":{"rendered":"[\uacbd\uc81c \uc18c\uc2dd 2] \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e0\uc911\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ubb34\uc791\uc815 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc2f6\uc5b4 \ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"316\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/th-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14224\" srcset=\"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/th-1.jpg 316w, https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/th-1-300x190.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 316px) 100vw, 316px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ub9c8\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc624 \ubabd\ud5e4: \u201c\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc131\uae09\ud558\uac8c \ubb34\uc791\uc815 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc2f6\uc5b4 \ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">-\ub9c8\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc624 \ubabd\ud5e4\ub294 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud0c0\ub9ac\uce74\ub300\ud559\uad50\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc744 \uacf5\ubd80\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc2a4\ud398\uc778 \ubc14\ub974\uc140\ub85c\ub098\uacbd\uc81c\ub300\ud559\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ud559\uc6d0 \uacfc\uc815\uc744 \ub9c8\ucce4\ub2e4. \ucee8\uc124\ud305\ud68c\uc0ac Cefsa\uc5d0\uc11c \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub85c \uadfc\ubb34\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uc8fc\uac1c\ubc1c\uc740\ud589(BID)\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ubb38\uac00\ud300\uc5d0 \ud569\ub958\ud588\ub2e4. 2023\ub144 \uc601\uad6d\uc758 Oxford Economics\uc5d0 \ud569\ub958\ud574 \ud604\uc7ac \uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \ub2f4\ub2f9 \uc218\uc11d \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub85c \ud65c\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c\ub099\uad00\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\ub2e4.\u201d<br>\ub9c8\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc624 \ubabd\ud5e4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud574\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud558\ube44\uc5d0\ub974 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\ubd80\ub97c \uc774\ub7f0 \uc2dc\uac01\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub77c\ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<br>Oxford Economics\uc758 \uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \ub2f4\ub2f9 \uc218\uc11d \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc778 \ubabd\ud5e4\ub294 LA NACION\uacfc\uc758 \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud55c \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815\uacfc \uc678\ud658\ud1b5\uc81c \ucca0\ud3d0 \ub4f1 \u201c\uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\u201d\uc758 \uc9c4\uc804\uc744 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.<br>\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uadf8\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uc758 \u201c\uc2e4\ub9dd\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc131\uacfc\u201d, \ud2b9\ud788 \u201c\ub0b4\uc218\uacbd\uc81c\u201d \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 2026\ub144 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04\uacfc 2027\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \uc555\ub825\uacfc \uc740\ud589 \ub300\ucd9c \uc5f0\uccb4 \uc99d\uac00 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.<br>\u201c\uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6b0\ub824\ub418\ub294 \ubb38\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uba74 \uc131\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \ub0b4\uc218\uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\uc774 \uc81c\uc57d\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub0b4\uc218\uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc815\uccb4\ub3fc \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uc5b4\ub5a4 \ubd84\uc57c\ub97c \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\uac74\uc124, \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5, \uc0c1\uc5c5 \uac19\uc740 \ubd84\uc57c\ub97c \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubd84\uc57c\ub4e4\uc774 \uace0\uc6a9\uc744 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc774 \ucc3d\ucd9c\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub824\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ubb38\uc81c\uc778\ub370, \ub354\uc6b1 \ud070 \ubb38\uc81c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ud574\uacb0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uc65c \uadf8\ub807\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 2024\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2025\ub144, 2026\ub144, 2027\ub144 \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc544\ub9c8 2028\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub192\uc740 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uace0\uc6a9\uc744 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc774 \ucc3d\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc57c\uac00 \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc18c\ub4dd\uc774\ub098 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc784\uae08\ub3c4 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc815\uccb4\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubb38\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uae08\uc735 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc5d0\ub294 \ud55c \uac00\uc9c0 \uc7a5\uc810\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8, \uba55\uc2dc\ucf54, \ucf5c\ub86c\ube44\uc544 \ub4f1\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud574 \ubbfc\uac04\ubd80\ubb38 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc774 GDP\uc5d0\uc11c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \ub300\ucd9c\uae08\uc744 \uc0c1\ud658\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uadf8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 4%\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 GDP\uc758 \uc57d 0.4%\ub85c \ucd94\uc0b0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uae08\uc735\uc704\uae30\ub97c \uacaa\uc5c8\ub358 \ub2e4\ub978 \ub098\ub77c\ub4e4\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub0ae\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774\ub098 \uc0c1\ud669 \uc804\uac1c\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd80\ucc44\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \uc7ac\uc735\uc790\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ucc44\ubb34\uc790 \ub4f1\uae09\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>3\ub4f1\uae09\uc774\ub098 4\ub4f1\uae09 \ucc44\ubb34\uc790\uac00 1\ub4f1\uae09\uc774\ub098 2\ub4f1\uae09\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uace0 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc88b\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub294 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc784\uae08 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc774 \uacfc\uc815\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uac00\uc838\uc635\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc744 1.6%, \ub0b4\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 0.4%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc740 \ub0ae\uc73c\uba70 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc784\uae08\ub3c4 \uc624\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc5b4\ub514\uc5d0\uc11c \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc804\ub9dd\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\uc9c0\ub09c \ubd84\uae30\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \uc2e4\ub9dd\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6e0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uae30\ub300\uc870\uc0ac(REM)\ub294 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \uc704\ucd95\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud558\ub098\ub294 \ub0b4\uc218 \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc815\uccb4\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\uace0, \ub610 \ud558\ub098\ub294 \ub18d\uc5c5\uacfc \uc5b4\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ucef8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uadf8\ub798\uc11c \uc62c\ud574 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 2.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.3%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdc4\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ubc18\uba74 \ub0b4\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 2.5%\uc5d0\uc11c 3%\ub85c \ub192\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\ub41c \uc774\uc720\ub294 \ub0b4\ub144\uc5d0 \uc218\ucd9c\uc138, \ud2b9\ud788 \ub300\ub450 \uc218\ucd9c\uc138\uac00 \uc778\ud558\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uac83\uc774 \ud574\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \ucd09\uc9c4\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub18d\uc5c5, \uad11\uc5c5, \uc11d\uc720 \uac19\uc740 \uc77c\ubd80 \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc804\uccb4 \ub0b4\uc218 \ubd80\ubb38\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc815\uccb4\ub3fc \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc \ub0b4\uc218\uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ud2b9\ubcc4\ud55c \uac1c\uc785\uc774\ub098 \uc815\ucc45 \uc5c6\uc774\ub3c4 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud574\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ubd05\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc6b0\ub824\ub418\ub294 \ubd80\ubd84\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ubc00\ub808\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c\uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uac1c\ud601\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \uacc4\ud68d\uc744 \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc9d1\uad8c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uadf8\ub7f0\ub370 \ud604\uc7ac \uc815\ubd80\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \uc9d1\uad8c \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc6d0\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, \uacfc\uac70\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uc784\uae08, \uace0\uc6a9 \ucc3d\ucd9c \ubd80\uc9c4 \ub4f1\uc758 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \ud3c9\uac00\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \ubcf4\uba74 \ubc00\ub808\uc774\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ub9cc\uacfc \uc758\uad6c\uc2ec\uc774 \uc0dd\uaca8\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc815\ubd80\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub354 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4\ub2e4\uba74 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc9c1\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc800\ub294 \uc815\uce58 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub294 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc911\uac04\uc120\uac70 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud2c0\ub838\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc57c\ub2f9\uc774 \ub354 \uc88b\uc740 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc5bb\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uadf8\ub807\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uadf8\ub807\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ud2b9\ud788 \uc815\uce58\uc801\uc778 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc704\ud5d8\uc694\uc778\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\ud574\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c \ud65c\ub3d9\ud558\ub294 \ucee8\uc124\ud305\ud68c\uc0ac\uc778\ub370, \uace0\uac1d\ub4e4\uc740 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc640 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc744 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ud3c9\uac00\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c\ub294 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud604 \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc9d1\uad8c\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc790\ubcf8\ud1b5\uc81c\ub97c \ucca0\ud3d0\ud588\uace0, \ud398\ub974\ub09c\ub370\uc2a4 \uc815\ubd80 \uc2dc\uc808 \ub204\uc801\ub410\ub358 \ub9ce\uc740 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \ud574\uacb0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc2e4\uc2dc\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc804\uacfc \ub2e4\ub978 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\ub824\ub294 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\ub77c\ub294 \uc778\uc2dd\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ubb3c\ub860 \uc774 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\ub294 \uc78a\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 \uc548 \ub420 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801\u00b7\uc0ac\ud68c\uc801 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc778 \uace0\uac1d\ub4e4\uacfc \uc774\uc57c\uae30\ud574 \ubcf4\uba74 \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub97c \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4 \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uc65c \u201c\uc2e0\uc911\ud558\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\ub099\uad00\uc801\uc778 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc9d1\uad8c\ud574 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ub9ce\uc740 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uc2e4\ud589\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \ud56d\uc0c1 \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\uace0 \uc774\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub9cc\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucf5c\ub86c\ube44\uc544, \ud398\ub8e8, \uce60\ub808\ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ubcfc\ub9ac\ube44\uc544\ub098 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud0c0\ub9ac\uce74 \uac19\uc740 \ub098\ub77c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7f0 \uc77c\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ub9ce\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\uace0 \uacc4\uc18d \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uba70 \uc9c0\uc6d0\ud560 \uc758\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \u201c\uc131\uae09\ud558\uac8c \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub4e4\uace0\u201d \uc2f6\uc5b4 \ud558\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ub9c8\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc624 \ub9c8\ud06c\ub9ac \uc815\ubd80 \ub54c\ucc98\ub7fc \uc218\uc2ed\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud22c\uc790\ud588\ub2e4\uac00 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc54c\ubca0\ub974\ud1a0 \ud398\ub974\ub09c\ub370\uc2a4 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ub418\ud480\uc774\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc6d0\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ub9c8\ud06c\ub9ac \uc815\ubd80\uc870\ucc28 \uacb0\uad6d \uc790\ubcf8\ud1b5\uc81c\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub3c4\uc785\ud574\uc57c \ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc815\uce58\uc801\uc778 \ubb38\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801\uc778 \ubb38\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\uc8fc\ub85c \uc815\uce58\uc801\uc778 \ubb38\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ubd88\uade0\ud615\uc740 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c \uc870\uc815\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>Oxford Economics\uc758 \ubaa8\ub378\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud604\uc7ac \ud398\uc18c\ud654\ub294 \uc57d 7% \uace0\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub294 \uace0\ud3c9\uac00 \uc815\ub3c4\uac00 20~30%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84 \uc870\uc815\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac 7%\ub77c\ub294 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uacf5\uc2dd\ud658\uc728\uacfc \ube44\uacf5\uc2dd\ud658\uc728\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\uc640\ub3c4 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ube44\uc2b7\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uacfc \ud398\uc18c\ud654 \uac00\uce58 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub17c\uc7c1\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*7%\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uadf8\ub9ac \ucee4 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub370 \uc774 \uc815\ub3c4 \uc870\uc815\uc774\uba74 \ucda9\ubd84\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\ubc00\ub808\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ucc98\uc74c\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ud3c9\uac00\uc808\ud558\ub97c \uc2e4\uc2dc\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uacbd\uc81c \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc5d0\uc11c \ud55c \uac00\uc9c0 \uc2e4\uc218\ub97c \ud588\ub294\ub370 \ubc14\ub85c \ud06c\ub864\ub9c1 \ud398\uadf8\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\ud6c4 IMF\uac00 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc624\uba74\uc11c \ud658\uc728\uc81c\ub3c4\ub97c \ubc34\ub4dc \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\uafe8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc \ubc34\ub4dc\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 \ube44\uc728\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uac83\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c \uc911 \ud558\ub098\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ub0ae\ucd94\ub824\uace0 \ud588\ub358 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc774\ud574\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud574 2024\ub144 \uc138 \uc790\ub9bf\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c 2025\ub144 \ub450 \uc790\ub9bf\uc218\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ucd5c\ucd08 \ud3c9\uac00\uc808\ud558 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\uac00 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud658\uc728 \ubc34\ub4dc\ub97c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \ub9de\ucdb0 \uc870\uc815\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \ubcc0\uacbd\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc62c\ud574\ub294 \ub18d\uc5c5, \ubc14\uce74 \ubb34\uc5d0\ub974\ud0c0, \uad11\uc5c5\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9ce\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uc720\uc785\ub3fc \ud658\uc728 \uc548\uc815\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc62c\ud574 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\ub85c \uc811\uc5b4\ub4e4\uba74\uc11c \ud658\uc728\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc800\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uc728 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uc65c \uadf8\ub807\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c? \ub300\uc678 \ubd80\ubb38\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc804\ub9dd\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\uc6d4\ubcc4 \uc678\ud658\uc218\uc9c0\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub294 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 4\uc6d4\ubd80\ud130 6\uc6d4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ud751\uc790\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ud6c4 \uc218\ud655\uae30\uac00 \ub05d\ub098\uba74\uc11c \ud751\uc790 \ud3ed\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uace0 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc801\uc790\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uac11\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uadf8\ub7f0\ub370 2026\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uae30\ubcf8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc774\uc720 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uae68\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uccab\uc9f8, \ubc14\uce74 \ubb34\uc5d0\ub974\ud0c0(Vaca Muerta)\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc131\uacf5\uc801\uc778 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uac70\ub480\uace0 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uacc4\uc18d \uadf8\ub7f4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub458\uc9f8, \ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc138\uac00 \uc778\ud558\ub410\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 6\uc6d4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \uacfc\uac70 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc654\uace0, \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc62c\ud574 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uacc4\uc808\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc815\uc0c1\uc801\uc778 \ud604\uc0c1\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>2027\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc138 \uc778\ud558\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc720\uc785\uc774 \ub354 \ub298\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc120\uac70\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\ub3c4 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ub0b4\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc911\uac04\uc120\uac70 \uc804\uc5d0 \uacbd\ud5d8\ud588\ub358 \uac83\uacfc \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc989, \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ud070 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc720\ucd9c\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uadf8 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc77c\uc774 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub0a0\uc9c0\ub294 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \uc7ac\uc120 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub97c \uc54c \uc218 \uc5c6\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub9d0\uc500\ub4dc\ub9ac\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ub2e4\ub9cc \ud658\uc728\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?<br>\uadf8 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc77c\uc774 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c8\uc9c0 \uc608\uce21\ud558\uae30\ub294 \uc5b4\ub835\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uac8c \uc804\ub9dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ubc00\ub808\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc7ac\uc120\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74 \ud604\uc7ac \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0 15%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd9c \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc774\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uac00 \uacfc\uac70 \uacbd\ud5d8\ud588\ub358 \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uad00\ub828\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BCRA)\uc774 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\ub97c \ucda9\ub2f9\ud588\uace0, \ub9ce\uc740 \ubcf4\uc870\uae08\uc774 \uc9c0\uae09\ub410\uc73c\uba70, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc811\uadfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ubc00\ub808\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \uc7ac\uc120\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uce58\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd9c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc804\ub9dd\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c? 2023\ub144\uc774\ub098 2024\ub144\uc5d0 \ube44\ud558\uba74 \ud06c\uac8c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc6d4 2% \uc548\ud30e\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\uccb4\ub3fc \uc788\uace0, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ud558\ub098\uc778\ub370\uc694.<br>\ub2e8\uae30\uc640 \uc7a5\uae30, \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uae30\ub300\uc870\uc0ac(REM)\ub294 \uc62c\ud574 \uc6d4\ud3c9\uade0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 1.7%\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uadf8\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc740 2.2%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc138 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uccab \ubc88\uc9f8\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc870\uae08 \ucd95\uc18c\uac00 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uacc4\uac00 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc6a9\uc758 54%\ub97c \ubd80\ub2f4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \ub098\uba38\uc9c0 46%\ub294 \ubcf4\uc870\uae08\uc73c\ub85c \ucda9\ub2f9\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud2b9\ud788 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790 \uc81c\ub85c \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\uc5d0 \uc624\ub974\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc138\uc218\ub294 \uac10\uc18c\ud558\ub294 \ubc18\uba74 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc740 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc9c0\ucd9c \uc99d\uac00\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84\uc740 \ubcf4\uc870\uae08\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ub86f\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \uad6d\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc \uc720\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub4f1\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>YPF\uc758 \uc694\uc778\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>YPF\ub294 \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\ub97c \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc989\uac01 \uc804\uac00\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub3d9\uacb0\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ucde8\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uac00\uaca9 \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc18c\ube44\uc790 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub354 \uc624\ub79c \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uac78\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc138 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \ud658\uc728\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uacf5\uc2dd\ud658\uc728\uacfc \ube44\uacf5\uc2dd\ud658\uc728 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \uc544\uc9c1 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub294 \uaca9\ucc28\ub3c4 \ubb38\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud604\uc7ac\ub294 \uacfc\uac70\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud658\uc728 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\uc5d0 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\ub294 \ub370 \uc870\uae08 \ub354 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uac78\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba74 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce69\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\ubc14\ub85c \uc774\ub7f0 \uc774\uc720 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br>\uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uac8c \ubcfc \ub9cc\ud55c \uc774\uc720\uac00 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ub9c8\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc624 \ubabd\ud5e4: \u201c\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc131\uae09\ud558\uac8c \ubb34\uc791\uc815 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc2f6\uc5b4 \ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\u201d -\ub9c8\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc624 \ubabd\ud5e4\ub294 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud0c0\ub9ac\uce74\ub300\ud559\uad50\uc5d0\uc11c \uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc744 \uacf5\ubd80\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc2a4\ud398\uc778 \ubc14\ub974\uc140\ub85c\ub098\uacbd\uc81c\ub300\ud559\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ud559\uc6d0 \uacfc\uc815\uc744 \ub9c8\ucce4\ub2e4. \ucee8\uc124\ud305\ud68c\uc0ac Cefsa\uc5d0\uc11c \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub85c \uadfc\ubb34\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uc8fc\uac1c\ubc1c\uc740\ud589(BID)\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\ubb38\uac00\ud300\uc5d0 \ud569\ub958\ud588\ub2e4. 2023\ub144 \uc601\uad6d\uc758 Oxford Economics\uc5d0 \ud569\ub958\ud574 \ud604\uc7ac \uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \ub2f4\ub2f9 \uc218\uc11d \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub85c \ud65c\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \u201c\ub099\uad00\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\ub2e4.\u201d\ub9c8\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc624 \ubabd\ud5e4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud574\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud558\ube44\uc5d0\ub974 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\ubd80\ub97c \uc774\ub7f0 \uc2dc\uac01\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub77c\ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.Oxford Economics\uc758 \uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \ub2f4\ub2f9 \uc218\uc11d \uc774\ucf54\ub178\ubbf8\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc778 \ubabd\ud5e4\ub294 LA NACION\uacfc\uc758 \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\uc5d0\uc11c \ud604 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud55c \uc0c1\ub300\uac00\uaca9 \uc870\uc815\uacfc \uc678\ud658\ud1b5\uc81c \ucca0\ud3d0 \ub4f1 \u201c\uad6c\uc870\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\u201d\uc758 \uc9c4\uc804\uc744 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uadf8\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uc758 \u201c\uc2e4\ub9dd\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uc131\uacfc\u201d, \ud2b9\ud788 \u201c\ub0b4\uc218\uacbd\uc81c\u201d \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 2026\ub144 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04\uacfc 2027\ub144 \ud558\ubc18\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \uc555\ub825\uacfc \uc740\ud589 \ub300\ucd9c \uc5f0\uccb4 \uc99d\uac00 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4.\u201c\uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6b0\ub824\ub418\ub294 \ubb38\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uba74 \uc131\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 \ub0b4\uc218\uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\uc774 \uc81c\uc57d\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub0b4\uc218\uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \ubd84\uae30\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc815\uccb4\ub3fc \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\u201d *\uc5b4\ub5a4 \ubd84\uc57c\ub97c \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?\uac74\uc124, \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5, \uc0c1\uc5c5 \uac19\uc740 \ubd84\uc57c\ub97c \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubd84\uc57c\ub4e4\uc774 \uace0\uc6a9\uc744 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc774 \ucc3d\ucd9c\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub824\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ubb38\uc81c\uc778\ub370, \ub354\uc6b1 \ud070 \ubb38\uc81c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \ud574\uacb0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. *\uc65c \uadf8\ub807\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ubcf4\uba74 2024\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2025\ub144, 2026\ub144, 2027\ub144 \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc544\ub9c8 2028\ub144\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub192\uc740 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uace0\uc6a9\uc744 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc774 \ucc3d\ucd9c\ud558\ub294 \ubd84\uc57c\uac00 \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc18c\ub4dd\uc774\ub098 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc784\uae08\ub3c4 \uc644\ub9cc\ud558\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uc815\uccb4\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud07d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubb38\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uae08\uc735 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc5d0\ub294 \ud55c \uac00\uc9c0 \uc7a5\uc810\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8, \uba55\uc2dc\ucf54, \ucf5c\ub86c\ube44\uc544 \ub4f1\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud574 \ubbfc\uac04\ubd80\ubb38 \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc774 GDP\uc5d0\uc11c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub0ae\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \ub300\ucd9c\uae08\uc744 \uc0c1\ud658\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ube44\uc6a9\uc740 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uadf8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc57d 4%\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 GDP\uc758 \uc57d 0.4%\ub85c \ucd94\uc0b0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uae08\uc735\uc704\uae30\ub97c \uacaa\uc5c8\ub358 \ub2e4\ub978 \ub098\ub77c\ub4e4\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud558\uba74 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub0ae\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. *\uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774\ub098 \uc0c1\ud669 \uc804\uac1c\ub97c \uc608\uc0c1\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?\uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd80\ucc44\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \uc7ac\uc735\uc790\ud558\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd05\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ucc44\ubb34\uc790 \ub4f1\uae09\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.3\ub4f1\uae09\uc774\ub098 4\ub4f1\uae09 \ucc44\ubb34\uc790\uac00 1\ub4f1\uae09\uc774\ub098 2\ub4f1\uae09\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uace0 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uc88b\uc544\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub294 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc784\uae08 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uc774 \uacfc\uc815\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uac00\uc838\uc635\ub2c8\uae4c?\ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44\uc758 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 \ubbfc\uac04\uc18c\ube44 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc744 1.6%, \ub0b4\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 0.4%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc99d\uac00\uc728\uc740 \ub0ae\uc73c\uba70 \uc2e4\uc9c8\uc784\uae08\ub3c4 \uc624\ub974\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc18c\ube44\uac00 \uc5b4\ub514\uc5d0\uc11c \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c? *\uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc804\ub9dd\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?\uc9c0\ub09c \ubd84\uae30\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc740 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \uc2e4\ub9dd\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6e0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uae30\ub300\uc870\uc0ac(REM)\ub294 \ud50c\ub7ec\uc2a4 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \uc704\ucd95\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc774\uc720\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud558\ub098\ub294 \ub0b4\uc218 \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \uc131\uc7a5\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uace0 \uc815\uccb4\ub3fc \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\uace0, \ub610 \ud558\ub098\ub294 \ub18d\uc5c5\uacfc \uc5b4\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ucef8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uadf8\ub798\uc11c \uc62c\ud574 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 2.8%\uc5d0\uc11c 2.3%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucdc4\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\ubc18\uba74 \ub0b4\ub144 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 2.5%\uc5d0\uc11c 3%\ub85c \ub192\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\ub41c \uc774\uc720\ub294 \ub0b4\ub144\uc5d0 \uc218\ucd9c\uc138, \ud2b9\ud788 \ub300\ub450 \uc218\ucd9c\uc138\uac00 \uc778\ud558\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uac83\uc774 \ud574\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \ucd09\uc9c4\ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub18d\uc5c5, \uad11\uc5c5, \uc11d\uc720 \uac19\uc740 \uc77c\ubd80 \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c\ub97c \ub5a0\ubc1b\uce58\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc804\uccb4 \ub0b4\uc218 \ubd80\ubb38\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc815\uccb4\ub3fc \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uae30\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ucc98\ub7fc \ub0b4\uc218\uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. *\uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ud2b9\ubcc4\ud55c \uac1c\uc785\uc774\ub098 \uc815\ucc45 \uc5c6\uc774\ub3c4 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud574\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ubd05\ub2c8\uae4c?\uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc6b0\ub824\ub418\ub294 \ubd80\ubd84\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\ubc00\ub808\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c\uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uac1c\ud601\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \uacc4\ud68d\uc744 \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc9d1\uad8c\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uadf8\ub7f0\ub370 \ud604\uc7ac \uc815\ubd80\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \uc9d1\uad8c \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc6d0\ud558\ub294 \ub9cc\ud07c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158, \uacfc\uac70\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uc784\uae08, \uace0\uc6a9 \ucc3d\ucd9c \ubd80\uc9c4 \ub4f1\uc758 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \ud3c9\uac00\ub97c \ud568\uaed8 \ubcf4\uba74 \ubc00\ub808\uc774\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ub9cc\uacfc \uc758\uad6c\uc2ec\uc774 \uc0dd\uaca8\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc815\ubd80\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \ud3c9\uac00\uac00 \ub354 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4\ub2e4\uba74 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc9c1\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a0 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uc800\ub294 \uc815\uce58 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub294 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc911\uac04\uc120\uac70 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \ud2c0\ub838\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc57c\ub2f9\uc774 \ub354 \uc88b\uc740 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc5bb\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uadf8\ub807\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uadf8\ub807\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ud2b9\ud788 \uc815\uce58\uc801\uc778 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc704\ud5d8\uc694\uc778\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. *\ud574\uc678\uc5d0\uc11c \ud65c\ub3d9\ud558\ub294 \ucee8\uc124\ud305\ud68c\uc0ac\uc778\ub370, \uace0\uac1d\ub4e4\uc740 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc640 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc744 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ud3c9\uac00\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?\uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c\ub294 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\ud604 \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc9d1\uad8c\ud55c \ub4a4 \uc790\ubcf8\ud1b5\uc81c\ub97c \ucca0\ud3d0\ud588\uace0, \ud398\ub974\ub09c\ub370\uc2a4 \uc815\ubd80 \uc2dc\uc808 \ub204\uc801\ub410\ub358 \ub9ce\uc740 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \ud574\uacb0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc870\uc815\uc744 \uc2e4\uc2dc\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc804\uacfc \ub2e4\ub978 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\ub824\ub294 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\ub77c\ub294 \uc778\uc2dd\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\ubb3c\ub860 \uc774 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\ub294 \uc78a\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 \uc548 \ub420 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801\u00b7\uc0ac\ud68c\uc801 \ube44\uc6a9\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc778 \uace0\uac1d\ub4e4\uacfc \uc774\uc57c\uae30\ud574 \ubcf4\uba74 \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub97c \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4 \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. *\uc65c \u201c\uc2e0\uc911\ud558\ub2e4\u201d\uace0 \ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?\ub099\uad00\uc801\uc778 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 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\uc2f6\uc5b4 \ud558\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\ub9c8\uc6b0\ub9ac\uc2dc\uc624 \ub9c8\ud06c\ub9ac \uc815\ubd80 \ub54c\ucc98\ub7fc \uc218\uc2ed\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud22c\uc790\ud588\ub2e4\uac00 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc54c\ubca0\ub974\ud1a0 \ud398\ub974\ub09c\ub370\uc2a4 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ub418\ud480\uc774\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc6d0\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\ub9c8\ud06c\ub9ac \uc815\ubd80\uc870\ucc28 \uacb0\uad6d \uc790\ubcf8\ud1b5\uc81c\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub3c4\uc785\ud574\uc57c \ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. *\uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc815\uce58\uc801\uc778 \ubb38\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801\uc778 \ubb38\uc81c\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?\uc8fc\ub85c \uc815\uce58\uc801\uc778 \ubb38\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ubd88\uade0\ud615\uc740 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c \uc870\uc815\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ud658\uc728\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.Oxford Economics\uc758 \ubaa8\ub378\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud604\uc7ac \ud398\uc18c\ud654\ub294 \uc57d 7% \uace0\ud3c9\uac00\ub3fc \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uacfc\uac70\uc5d0\ub294 \uace0\ud3c9\uac00 \uc815\ub3c4\uac00 20~30%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84 \uc870\uc815\ub410\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac 7%\ub77c\ub294 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uacf5\uc2dd\ud658\uc728\uacfc \ube44\uacf5\uc2dd\ud658\uc728\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\uc640\ub3c4 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ube44\uc2b7\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uacfc \ud398\uc18c\ud654 \uac00\uce58 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub17c\uc7c1\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. *7%\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uadf8\ub9ac \ucee4 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub370 \uc774 \uc815\ub3c4 \uc870\uc815\uc774\uba74 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