{"id":13966,"date":"2026-08-05T19:59:19","date_gmt":"2026-08-05T22:59:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=13966"},"modified":"2026-08-05T19:59:20","modified_gmt":"2026-08-05T22:59:20","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c08%ec%9b%94-05%ec%9d%bc-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=13966","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(08\uc6d4 05\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc678\uad50 \uc9c4\uc804, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\uc2b9
    \ubbf8\uad6d \uc6d4\uac00\uc640 \uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub97c \ud574\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc784\ubc15\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \ucee4\uc84c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uce74\ud0c0\ub974\uac00 \uc911\uc7ac\ud558\ub294 \ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \ucd5c\uc885 \ud569\uc758\ubb38 \uc791\uc131 \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc130\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80 \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc870\ub9cc\uac04 \uacf5\uc2dd \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc678\uad50\uc801 \uc9c4\uc804\uc740 \uc138\uacc4\uc801\uc778 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \uc644\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ud3b8 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 80\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\uc73c\uba70, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ub0a8\uc740 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce60 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ub099\uad00\ub860 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801\uc740 \uc5c7\uac08\ub838\ub2e4.
    \ucd5c\uadfc \uc0c1\uc7a5\ud55c \uc2a4\ud398\uc774\uc2a4X \ub294 \uccab \ubd84\uae30 \uc2e4\uc801\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc774 \ub450 \ubc30 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5(AI)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \ud22c\uc790 \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc774 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uac1c\uc7a5 \uc804 \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 10% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uba54\ub974\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc218 \ud558\ub77d, \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uad6d\ub0b4 \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uc704\ucd95\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    S&P \uba54\ub974\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc218: 2.6% \ud558\ub77d
    \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc8fc\uac00: 3% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d
    \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4: 1.9% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 421bp
    \uc8fc\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc6d0\uc778\uc740 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub77d\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc911\ub3d9\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc720 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ub298\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc720\uac00\ub97c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\ub838\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \ud638\uc7ac\uc600\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ube44\uc911\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \ubd80\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud45c\uc2dc \uad6d\ucc44\ub294 \uc7a5 \ucd08\ubc18\uc5d0\ub294 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ud6c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \ubc18\ub0a9\ud558\uba70 \ubcf4\ud569\uad8c\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ub9c8\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \ubc14\uc6b0\uc2e4\ub9ac \ucd1d\uc7ac \ucde8\uc784 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BCRA)\uc758 \ucd1d\uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740 496\uc5b5 4,200\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70 \ucd5c\uadfc 7\ub144 \uc911 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ud558\ub8e8 \ub3d9\uc548 2\uc5b56,600\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \ud2b9\ud788 \uae08 \ubcf4\uc720 \uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uce58 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \uc0b0\ud2f0\uc544\uace0 \ubc14\uc6b0\uc2e4\ub9ac \ucd1d\uc7ac \ucde8\uc784 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uae30\ub85d\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 2,800\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218\ud588\ub2e4.
    8\uc6d4 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub294 \ub2e4\uc18c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uc5b4 \uccab \uc774\ud2c0 \ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 4,600\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ud604\uc0c1\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc62c\ud574 \ub204\uc801 \uc678\ud658 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294
    133\uc5b5 8,300\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud558\uba70,
    \uad6d\uc81c\ud1b5\ud654\uae30\uae08(IMF)\uacfc \ud569\uc758\ud55c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uac1c\uc785, \ub3c4\ub9e4\ud658\uc728 1,500\ud398\uc18c \ubd80\uadfc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc548\uc815
    \uc804\ub0a0 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    \ub3c4\ub9e4\ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc7a5\uc911 1,500\ud398\uc18c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc 1,496\ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10(+0.1%)\ud588\uace0,
    \uacf5\uc2dd\ud658\uc728 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \ud658\uc728\uc740 1,515\ud398\uc18c\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uae08\uc735\ud658\uc728\uc740 \ud63c\uc870\uc138\uc600\ub2e4.
    MEP \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.5% \ud558\ub77d, 1,520\ud398\uc18c,
    CCL \ud658\uc728\uc740 0.2% \uc0c1\uc2b9, 1,583\ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub05d\ub0ac\ub2e4.
    \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \ud658\uc728\uc774 1,500\ud398\uc18c\ub97c \ud06c\uac8c \ub118\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub3c4\ub85d \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc678\ud658 \ub9e4\uc785 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub97c \uc904\uc774\uace0 2\ucc28 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uc5ec \uc2dc\uc911 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud761\uc218\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc870\uce58\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ucc44\uad8c \ub9cc\uae30\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc21c\uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc744 \ud6fc\uc190\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ud658\uc728\uc744 \uc548\uc815\uc2dc\ud0a4\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud611\uc0c1 \uc9c4\uc804\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\uac12 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub3cc\ud30c
    \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uc120\ubb3c\uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc628\uc2a4\ub2f9 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ud569\uc758\uac00 \uc784\ubc15\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\ub2e4.
    \ud604\ubb3c \uae08: 4,248.90\ub2ec\ub7ec(+2.3%)
    \uae08 \uc120\ubb3c: 4,222.92\ub2ec\ub7ec(+1.7%)
    \uc740: 62.24\ub2ec\ub7ec(+3.33%)
    \ubc31\uae08: 1,777.75\ub2ec\ub7ec(+1.2%)
    \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc7a5\uae30\uac04\uc758 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc99d\uac00\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uce74\ud0c0\ub974, \uc624\ub9cc, \uc774\ub780, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \ucd5c\uc885 \ud569\uc758 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc744 \uc870\uc728\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc870\ub9cc\uac04 \uacf5\uc2dd \ubc1c\ud45c\uac00 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ubbf8\uad6d \uc7ac\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00 \uc2a4\ucf67 \ubca0\uc13c\ud2b8 \uc5ed\uc2dc \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \uad00\ub828 \ud611\uc0c1\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc9c4\uc804\uc744 \uc774\ub8e8\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.
    \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uc548\uc815 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uae08\uac12\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uae08\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c 2\uc6d4 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4 \ud55c\ub54c 20% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\ub098, \ucd5c\uadfc \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    \ud574\uc124
    \uc774\ubc88 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \ub124 \uac00\uc9c0\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    *\uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc73c\ub85c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c *\uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    *\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uae30\uc5c5\uc5d0\ub294 \uc545\uc7ac\uc5ec\uc11c \uba54\ub974\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    *\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ud658\uc728\uc744 1,500\ud398\uc18c \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc678\ud658\ub9e4\uc785\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uace0 \ucc44\uad8c \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcd1\ud589\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uac1c\uc785\uc744 \uc2e4\uc2dc\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    *\uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70 IMF \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc804\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ubc88 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c \uc815\uc138\ub294 \ud638\uc804\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud658\uc728 \ubc29\uc5b4\uc640 \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\ub300\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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