{"id":13796,"date":"2026-07-28T18:39:49","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T21:39:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=13796"},"modified":"2026-07-28T18:39:51","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T21:39:51","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c07%ec%9b%94-28%ec%9d%bc-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=13796","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(07\uc6d4 28\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. IMF, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c\uc815\ucc45 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc640 \uc131\uc7a5 \ud655\uc0b0 \uc8fc\ubb38
    \uad6d\uc81c\ud1b5\ud654\uae30\uae08(IMF)\uc740 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc815\ucc45 \ubc29\ud5a5\uc744 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uba70 2026\ub144 \uacbd\uc81c\uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 3.5%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub97c \ubc29\ubb38\ud55c IMF \ucd1d\uc7ac \ud06c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud0c8\ub9ac\ub098 \uac8c\uc624\ub974\uae30\uc5d0\ubc14\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ub192\uc774 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    *\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ud558\ub77d
    *\uc7ac\uc815\ud751\uc790\uc758 \ud68c\ubcf5
    *\uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 \uc99d\uac00
    *\uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2e0\ub8b0 \ud68c\ubcf5
    \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c\uc131\uc7a5\uc758 \ud61c\ud0dd\uc774 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uacfc \ub18d\uc5c5\uc5d0 \uc9c0\ub098\uce58\uac8c \uc9d1\uc911\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    IMF\ub294 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uc18c\uae30\uc5c5\uacfc \uc77c\ubc18 \uac00\uacc4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\uac00 \ud655\uc0b0\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \uae08\uc735 \uc811\uadfc\uc131\uacfc \uc2e0\uc6a9\uacf5\uae09\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ub610\ud55c \ub178\ub3d9\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\ud601\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ube44\uacf5\uc2dd \uace0\uc6a9\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \ube44\uc911\uc5d0\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ud3b8 \ud604\uc7ac\ub85c\uc11c\ub294 IMF\uc5d0 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ucc28\uad00\uc744 \uc694\uccad\ud560 \ud544\uc694\ub294 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \ubc29\ubb38\uc758 \ubaa9\uc801\uc740 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uc758\ub840\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc815\ubd80\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc81c\ub3c4\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ub97c \uc7ac\ud655\uc778\ud558\uace0 \uad6c\uc870\uac1c\ud601\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \uc555\ubc15\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    IMF\ub294 \ud2b9\ud788 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BCRA)\uc758 \uc644\uc804\ud55c \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc131 \ud655\ubcf4, \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc7ac\uc815\uade0\ud615\uc744 \ud575\uc2ec \uacfc\uc81c\ub85c \uc81c\uc2dc\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc640\uad00\ub828 La Naci\u00f3n \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 Wise Capital \ud22c\uc790\ud68c\uc0ac\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    “IMF \ucd1d\uc7ac\uc758 \uc774\ubc88 \ubc29\ubb38\uc740 \ud558\ube44\uc5d0\ub974 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd84\uba85\ud55c \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc758 \uc2e0\ud638\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ubc29\ubb38\uc740 IMF \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 \uc2dc\uc810\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud65c\ub3d9 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc758 \ucd08\uae30 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 IMF \uc774\uc0ac\ud68c\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc7ac\uc815\ud751\uc790\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc131, \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 \ucd95\uc801 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub97c \uba74\ubc00\ud788 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud5a5\ud6c4 \ud611\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud569\uc758\ub41c \uad6c\uc870\uac1c\ud601\uc758 \uc774\ud589 \uc5ec\ubd80\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc694\uc18c\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.”<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc548\uc815
    \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ud611\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc138\uacc4 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc548\ub3c4\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ube44\ub85d \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubd09\uc1c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc9c0\ub9cc
    \uad6d\uc81c\uc720\uac00\ub294 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc57d 8% \uae09\ub77d\ud588\uace0
    \uc138\uacc4 \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc7a5\ub41c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 3.9% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uac00\uc7a5 \uac15\ud55c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ubd80\uc5d0\ub178\uc2a4\uc544\uc774\ub808\uc2a4 \uc99d\uc2dc\uc758 S&P \uba54\ub974\ubc1c(Merval) \uc9c0\uc218\ub3c4 0.65% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\uc18c \ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uc5ec \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc740 \uc81c\ud55c\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uad6d\ucc44 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud63c\uc870\uc138\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\uace0 \ud070 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc740 \uc5c6\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\ub294 442bp\ub85c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uc774\uc81c \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \uc815\ubd80, \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ub4c0\uc5bc\ucc44\uad8c \ubc1c\ud589
    \uacbd\uc81c\ubd80\ub294 8\uc8704\ucc9c\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ub9cc\uae30\ub97c \uc0c1\ud658\ud558\uace0 \uc2dc\uc911 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud761\uc218\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ub4c0\uc5bc\ucc44\uad8c(Bono Dual) \uc744 \ubc1c\ud589\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \ucc44\uad8c\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \ub2e4\uc74c \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    *TAMAR(\ub3c4\ub9e4\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae08\ub9ac)
    *\uacf5\uc2dd \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960
    \uc989, \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub354 \uc720\ub9ac\ud558\uba74 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uace0,
    \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ub354 \ud06c\uba74 \ud658\uc728 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc0c1\ubc1b\ub294 \uad6c\uc870\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc640 \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \ubaa8\ub450\ub97c \uc720\uc778\ud558\ub824 \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ub610\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud45c\uc2dc \uad6d\ucc44 AO29\ub3c4 \ucd5c\ub300 13\uc5b58\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c \ucd94\uac00 \ubc1c\ud589\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\ub294
    *CER(\ubb3c\uac00\uc5f0\ub3d9)
    *\uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \uad6d\ucc44
    *\ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \ucc44\uad8c(2026~2029\ub144)\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \ud3ec\ud568\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \ubaa9\uc801\uc740 \uc2dc\uc911 \ud398\uc18c\ub97c \ud761\uc218\ud558\uace0, \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc608\uce21 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BCRA), \uc678\ud658 \ub9e4\uc218\uc138 \uc9c0\uc18d
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub3d9\uc548 2,700\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc785\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uae08\uc694\uc77c\uc758 3\uc5b54,500\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc801\uc9c0\ub9cc
    \uc5f0\uc18d \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218\ub294 \uacc4\uc18d \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ucd1d \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740
    491\uc5b58,300\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 IMF\uac00 \uc694\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 \ud655\ub300 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc640\ub3c4 \uc77c\uce58\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uac8c\uc624\ub974\uae30\uc5d0\ubc14 \ucd1d\uc7ac \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc678\ubd80 \ucda9\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc9c0\uc9c0\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    7\uc6d4 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc218\ucd9c\ub300\uae08 \uc720\uc785 \uc99d\uac00, \uae08\uc735\uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785 \ud655\ub300 \ub355\ubd84\uc5d0 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc678\ud658\uc744 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \uc138\uacc4\uc2dc\uc7a5, \uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d\uacfc Fed \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc8fc\uc2dc
    \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740
    *\uc720\uac00 \ud558\ub77d
    *\ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900(Fed) \ud68c\uc758
    *\uae30\uc5c5 \uc2e4\uc801 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub97c \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uba70 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uc6d4\uac00\ub294 \ud63c\uc870\uc138\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc57d\uc138\ub85c S&P500\uacfc \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5
    \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \uc77c\ubd80 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d-\uc774\ub780 \uac08\ub4f1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc644\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 85\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc911\ub3d9\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub4dc\ub860 \uacf5\uaca9\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4
    \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae34\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45\ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc73c\uba70,
    \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uac8c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \uc131\uba85\uacfc \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uad00\uc2ec\uc744 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    \uc885\ud569 \ud3c9\uac00
    \uc774\ubc88 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    *IMF\ub294 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc62c\ud574 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc744 3.5%\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc131\uc7a5\uc758 \ud61c\ud0dd\uc774 \ub18d\uc5c5\uacfc \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ud3b8\uc911\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \uc911\uc18c\uae30\uc5c5\uacfc \uac00\uacc4\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uc5b4\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    *\uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ub4c0\uc5bc\ucc44\uad8c \ubc1c\ud589\uacfc AO29 \ucd94\uac00 \ubc1c\ud589\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc2dc\uc911 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud761\uc218\ud558\uace0 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\ub824 \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    *\uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc678\ud658 \ub9e4\uc218\uc640 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 \uc99d\uac00\ub294 IMF\uac00 \uc694\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \ubaa9\ud45c \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
    *\uad6d\uc81c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc815\uc138\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\uc900(Fed)\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \ub5a0\uc624\ub974\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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