{"id":13571,"date":"2026-07-15T20:33:38","date_gmt":"2026-07-15T23:33:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=13571"},"modified":"2026-07-15T20:33:39","modified_gmt":"2026-07-15T23:33:39","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c07%ec%9b%94-15%ec%9d%bc-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=13571","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(07\uc6d4 15\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. 6\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960 1.9%, \uc57d 1\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ub454\ud654
    6\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c 10\uac1c\uc6d4\uac04 \uc774\uc5b4\uc838 \uc628 \ud750\ub984\uc5d0 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uac00\uc838\uc654\ub2e4.
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uad6d\uac00\ud1b5\uacc4\uccad(INDEC)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(IPC)\ub294 1.9%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\uac00 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\uac8c \ub454\ud654\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \ud558\ub77d\uc740 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\uacfc \uc74c\ub8cc \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 1.3% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 2026\ub144 \uc0c1\ubc18\uae30 \ub204\uc801 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 16.8%, \uc804\ub144 \ub3d9\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 33.5%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ud3b8 \uadfc\uc6d0 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \uc758\uc57d\ud488, \uc784\ub300\ub8cc, \ube75 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 1.6%\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4.
    \ubc18\uba74 \uacc4\uc808\uc131 \ud488\ubaa9\uc740 \ucc44\uc18c \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uaca8\uc6b8 \uad00\uad11 \uc218\uc694\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c 3.4% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uc815\ubd80 \uaddc\uc81c \ud488\ubaa9\ub3c4 \uc804\uae30\uc694\uae08\uacfc \ub300\uc911\uad50\ud1b5 \uc694\uae08 \uc778\uc0c1\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c 2.3% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc138\ubd80\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294
    *\uc624\ub77d\u00b7\ubb38\ud654 \ubd80\ubb38 : 4.2% \uc0c1\uc2b9
    *\uc8fc\uac70 \ubd80\ubb38 : 3.3% \uc0c1\uc2b9
    \ud2b9\ud788 \uc8fc\uac70\ube44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uad00\ub9ac\ube44(expensas) \uc778\uc0c1\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BCRA), \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\ubd80 \ucd9c\ubc94 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uaddc\ubaa8 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc785
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BCRA)\uc740 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub3d9\uc548 5\uc5b53,200\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc785\ud558\uba70 \uc5ed\uc0ac\uc801\uc778 \uae30\ub85d\uc744 \uc138\uc6e0\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\ubd80 \ucd9c\ubc94 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub85c
    2003\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc5ec\uc12f \ubc88\uc9f8\ub85c \ud070 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9e4\uc785 \uaddc\ubaa8\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \uac70\ub798\ub294 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc815\ubd80 \ub610\ub294 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc678\ucc44 \uac70\ub798\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ub41c \ube14\ub85d\uac70\ub798 \ub54c\ubb38\uc778 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub85c\uc368 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 2026\ub144 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub204\uc801 122\uc5b57,700\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc785\ud588\uc73c\uba70,
    7\uc6d4 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548\uc5d0\ub9cc 11\uc5b5200\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ucd94\uac00 \ud655\ubcf4\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740 486\uc5b58,700\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc81c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c\ubd80\uac00 \uc2e4\uc2dc\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc57d 3\uc870 \ud398\uc18c \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ub9cc\uae30\ub3c4\ub798 \ucc44\uad8c\uc744 \ucc28\ud658(\ub864\uc624\ubc84)\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc640\uad00\ub828 \u00c1mbito Financiero \uc9c0\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4.
    “\ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc785 \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \ub300\uc678\ubd80\ucc44 \uc0c1\ud658 \ubd80\ub2f4 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud558\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.”<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc2e0\ub8b0 \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300
    \uacbd\uc81c\ubd80\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30\uacfc Bonar 2029(AO29) \ubc1c\ud589\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc740 \uc57d 3\uc870 \ud398\uc18c \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uad6d\ucc44 \ub9cc\uae30 \ucc28\ud658\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc785\ucc30\uc744 \uc2e4\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc740 Bonar 2029(AO29)\uc758 \uccab \ubc1c\ud589\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \ucc44\uad8c\uc740 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud45c\uc2dc \uad6d\ucc44\ub85c \uc5f0\uc774\uc728\uc740 6%\uc774\uba70, \ucd5c\ub300 \ubc1c\ud589 \uaddc\ubaa8 20\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec
    \uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c \ub4c0\uc5bc\ucc44\uad8c\uc740 \uc81c\uc678\ud558\uace0 \ub300\uc2e0 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0\ub294
    *\uc62c\ud574 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \uad6d\ucc44
    *2028\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 CER(\ubb3c\uac00\uc5f0\ub3d9) \ucc44\uad8c
    *\ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728 \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ucc44\uad8c
    *2028\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30 \uc0c1\ud488
    *TAMAR \ubcc0\ub3d9\uae08\ub9ac \ucc44\uad8c \ub4f1\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c\ub2e4.
    \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \uad6d\ucc44 \uc0c1\ud658\uc73c\ub85c \uc2dc\uc911\uc5d0 \ud480\ub9b0 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud761\uc218\ud558\ub824 \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc785\ucc30\uc744 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc785\ucc30 \uc131\uacf5 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub294 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc678\ud654 \uc870\ub2ec \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc
    \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc815\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2e0\ub8b0 \uc218\uc900
    \uc744 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \ud658\uc728 \uc548\uc815, 1,500\ud398\uc18c \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4.
    \uc18c\ub9e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\uc740
    Banco Naci\u00f3n \uae30\uc900 1,495\ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud574
    6\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c 1,500\ud398\uc18c \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uc654\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 \uc5f0\uc911 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\uc640 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uac70\ub9ac\uac00 \uc0dd\uacbc\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \ub3c4\ub9e4\ud658\uc728\ub3c4 1,470.59\ud398\uc18c\uae4c\uc9c0 12\ud398\uc18c \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc5ed\uc2dc \ud568\uaed8 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    MEP \ud658\uc728 : 1,507.57\ud398\uc18c
    CCL \ud658\uc728 : 1,557.07\ud398\uc18c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub410\ub2e4.
    \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc678 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.
    \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\ub294 410bp\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uad6d\ucc44\ub294 \ud63c\uc870\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \ub274\uc695\uc99d\uc2dc\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc7a5\ub41c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 ADR\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 3.1% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \ubc18\uba74, \uba54\ub974\ubc1c(Merval) \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud398\uc18c \uae30\uc900 0.2% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \ubd81\ubd80 \ub9ac\ud2ac \uac1c\ubc1c, RIGI \uc81c\ub3c4 \ub300\ud615 \uad11\uc0b0 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8 \uc2b9\uc778
    RIGI(\ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ud22c\uc790 \uc778\uc13c\ud2f0\ube0c \uc81c\ub3c4) \ud3c9\uac00\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\ub294 \uce74\ud0c0\ub9c8\ub974\uce74(Catamarca)\uc8fc\uc758 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ub9ac\ud2ac \uac1c\ubc1c \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\ub97c \uc2b9\uc778\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc0ac\uc5c5\uc740 \uc911\uad6d Zijin Mining Group\uc758 \uc790\ud68c\uc0ac Liex\uac00 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \ucd1d \ud22c\uc790 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 7\uc5b5900\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc0ac\uc5c5\uc9c0\ub294 Fiambal\u00e1\uc758 Tres Quebradas \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ud22c\uc790\uae08\uc740 \uc5f0\uac04 4\ub9cc \ud1a4\uc758 \ud0c4\uc0b0\ub9ac\ud2ac\uc744 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uacf5\uc7a5 \uac74\uc124 \ubc0f \uc6b4\uc601\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub41c\ub2e4.
    \uac1c\ubc1c\uc740 2\ub2e8\uacc4\ub85c \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc57d 20\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548
    \uc5f0\uac04 4\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.
    \uc0ac\uc5c5\uc5d0\ub294
    *\uc5fc\uc218 \uc2dc\ucd94\uc815
    *\uc1a1\uc218\uad00
    *\ub3c4\ub85c
    *\uce60\ub808 \uad6d\uacbd \uc778\uadfc \uae30\ubc18\uc2dc\uc124 \uac74\uc124\ub3c4 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c\ub2e4.
    Zijin\uc740 2022\ub144 \uce90\ub098\ub2e4 Neo Lithium\uc758 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uc778\uc218\ud558\uba70 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc5d0 \uc9c4\ucd9c\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \uc0ac\uc5c5\uc73c\ub85c \uce74\ud0c0\ub9c8\ub974\uce74\uc8fc\ub294 \uad11\uc0b0 \ud22c\uc790 \uc911\uc2ec\uc9c0\ub85c \ub354\uc6b1 \uc790\ub9ac\ub9e4\uae40\ud558\uac8c \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \ud604\uc7ac RIGI\ub294 \uc804\uad6d 10\uac1c \uc8fc\uc5d0\uc11c \uc801\uc6a9\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70,
    \ud22c\uc790 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 \ub9ac\uc624\ub124\uadf8\ub85c\uc8fc\uac00 190\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uc7a5 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  6. \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ubb3c\uac00
    6\uc6d4 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \ub514\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \uae34\ucd95 \uae30\uc870 \uc720\uc9c0\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 6\uc6d4 \uc6d4\uac04 \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 0.4% \ud558\ub77d(\ub514\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158) \ud558\uba70 2020\ub144 \ud32c\ub370\ubbf9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ud558\ub77d\ud3ed\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(Fed) \uc758\uc7a5 \ucf00\ube48 \uc6cc\uc2dc\ub294
    \ubb3c\uac00\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud1b5\uc81c \ubd88\uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uc77c\uc740 \uc6a9\ub0a9\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub294 \ud1b5\ud654\uc815\ucc45 \uc548\uc815\uc774 \ucd5c\uc6b0\uc120 \uacfc\uc81c\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4.
    15\uc77c \ud6c4 \uc5f4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c\uc5d0\uc11c \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ubc29\ud5a5\uc774 \uacb0\uc815\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae30\ub300\ub3c4 \ud06c\uac8c \ubcc0\ud588\ub2e4.
    FedWatch \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 9\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 3.5~3.75%\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740
    25%\uc5d0\uc11c 40.5%\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\ub97c 4% \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 6.6%\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae09\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc989, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc62c\ud574 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac \uc870\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, 6\uc6d4\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \ubc16 \ub514\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc774\uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uace0 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc6b4\uc6a9\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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