{"id":12925,"date":"2026-06-01T17:21:48","date_gmt":"2026-06-01T20:21:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=12925"},"modified":"2026-06-01T17:21:50","modified_gmt":"2026-06-01T20:21:50","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c06%ec%9b%94-01%ec%9d%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=12925","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(06\uc6d4 01\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. 5\uc6d4, \ub0ae\uc740 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc608\uc0c1
    \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 5\uc6d4 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 2.1%~2.5% \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 INDEC(\uad6d\uac00\ud1b5\uacc4\uccad)\uc774 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c 4\uc6d4\uc758 2.6%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uace0, \uc62c\ud574 \ucd08 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 3.4%\uc758 \uc815\uc810\uacfc\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589(BCRA)\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc804\ub9dd\uc870\uc0ac(REM)\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c 2.3% \uc608\uc0c1\uce58\uc640\ub3c4 \uc77c\uce58\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uc790\uc2e0\ub4e4\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uc131\uacfc\ub85c \ub0b4\uc138\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, 6\uc6d4 11\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uacf5\uc2dd \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574 \uc904 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801 \uac1c\uc120\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc778 \ucd94\uc138 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uac04 \ub204\uc801 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 30%\ub97c \ub118\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc138\ubd80 \ud56d\ubaa9\ubcc4\ub85c\ub294 \uc2dd\ub8cc\ud488\uacfc \uad50\ud1b5\uc694\uae08\uc774 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\uba70 \uac00\uacc4 \ubd80\ub2f4\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc778 \uc548\uc815 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0 \uc9c4\uc785\ud588\uc744 \ubfd0\uc774\uba70, \ubb3c\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc774 \ud655\uace0\ud558\uac8c \uc815\ucc29\ub418\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \uac08 \uae38\uc774 \uba40\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4, \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \ud798\uc785\uc5b4 500\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uad6d\ucc44\ub294 5\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \ud3c9\uade0 2%\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c JP\ubaa8\uac74\uc758 \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\ub294 7\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 493bp\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2026\ub144 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\uc5d0 \uc811\uadfc\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\ub294 1\uc6d4\uc5d0 481bp\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uac00 \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubcf5\uadc0\ud55c \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc774 4,800\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc120 \uac83\uacfc\ub3c4 \uad00\ub828\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.
    IMF\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815 \uac74\uc804\uc131 \uc694\uad6c\uc640 \ubbf8\uad6d \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9(\uc5f0 5% \uc218\uc900)\uc774 \uae08\ub9ac \uaca9\ucc28 \ucd95\uc18c\ub97c \uc774\ub04c\uba74\uc11c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc640\uad00\ub828 Infobae \uc9c0\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4.
    \u201c\uad6d\uc81c\ud1b5\ud654\uae30\uae08(IMF)\uc740 6\uc6d4 \ub9d0\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 1\ucc28 \uc7ac\uc815\ud751\uc790 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c 1\uc8706\ucc9c\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c\ub0ae\ucdb0 \uc815\ubd80\uc5d0 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801 \uc5ec\uc720\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud588\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc2a4\ud0dc\ud504 \ub9ac\ud3ec\ud2b8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc6d4\ubcc4 \ubaa9\ud45c\uce58\ub294 8\uc8704,580\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c\uc5d0\uc11c 6\uc8708,610\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub0ae\uc544\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \uc7ac\ubb34\ubd80\uac00 4\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc774\ubbf8 6\uc870990\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c\ub97c \ub204\uc801\ud574 \ub193\uc558\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ubaa9\ud45c \ub2ec\uc131\uc774 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.\u201d
    \ub610\ud55c \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \ub367\ubd99\uc600\ub2e4.
    \u201c\uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uc644\ud654 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \ucda9\uaca9 \ub4f1 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uad6d\ub0b4\uc678 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c IMF\ub294 2026\ub144 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 4%\uc5d0\uc11c 3.5%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ud588\uace0, \uc5f0\uac04 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\ub3c4 25% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubcc0\uc218\ub4e4\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud574 \uc5f0\uac04 \uc7ac\uc815\ud751\uc790 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 16\uc8704\ucc9c\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 GDP\uc758 1.4%\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2f9\ucd08 IMF\uac00 \uc694\uad6c\ud588\ub358 GDP \ub300\ube44 2.2%\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.\u201d<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uacfc \ucc44\uad8c, 5\uc6d4 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \ucd9c\ubc1c \ud6c4 \ubc18\ub4f1
    \uad6d\ub0b4 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 5\uc6d4\uc744 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ucef8\ub2e4.
    \uc6d4\ucd08\uc5d0\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uc73c\ub098 \uc6d4\ub9d0\uc5d0\ub294 \uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub300\ud45c\uc9c0\uc218\uc778 S&P \uba54\ub974\ubc1c\uc740 5\uc6d4 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 11.8% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ucc44\uad8c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uc73c\uba70 \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\ub294 493bp\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ubc18\uba74 MEP \ud658\uc728\uacfc CCL \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc6d4\uac04 \uae30\uc900 \uc18c\ud3ed \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\uc2a4 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uacb0\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud658\uc728\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc138\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uacfc \uad6d\ucc44\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc774\ud6c4 \ubc18\ub4f1 \ud604\uc0c1\uacfc \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ub300\uc870\ub97c \uc774\ub8e8\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589, \uae30\ub85d\uc801 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc785\uc73c\ub85c 6\uc6d4 \uc2dc\uc791\u2026 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \ud798\ub4e0 \uc0c1\ud669 \uc804\ub9dd
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc678\ud654 \uc720\uc785\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc2dc\uae30\uc758 \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \ub2ec\uc778 6\uc6d4\uc744 \ub9de\uc544 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uc678\ud658 \ub9e4\uc785\uacfc \ud658\uc728 \uc548\uc815 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc0b0\ud2f0\uc544\uace0 \ubc14\uc6b0\uc2e4\ub9ac \ucd1d\uc7ac\uac00 \uc774\ub044\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 481\uc5b59,100\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, BOPREAL \ub9cc\uae30 \uc0c1\ud658\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 10\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \uac10\uc18c\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 97\uc5b54,700\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc785\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\uac04 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc778 100\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub2ec\uc131\uc744 \ub208\uc55e\uc5d0 \ub450\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc131\uacfc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud558\ubc18\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uacc4\uc808\uc801\uc778 \uc678\ud654 \uc720\uc785 \uac10\uc18c\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uba70, \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc790\uc0b0 \uc120\ud638\ub3c4 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub192\uc544\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ud2b9\ud788 2027\ub144 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \uc120\uac70\uac00 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc120\ud638 \ud604\uc0c1\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc81c\uae30\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \ub2ec\ub7ec, \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc778\uc758 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc778 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0
    \ud658\uc728\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc790\uc720\ud654 \uc774\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    2025\ub144 4\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uacf5\uc2dd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uac1c\uc778\ub4e4\uc774 \ub9e4\uc785\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 360\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \ud558\ube44\uc5d0\ub974 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \ud658\uc728 \uc548\uc815\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \ud604\uc0c1\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 4\uc6d4 \ud55c \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548\ub9cc 150\ub9cc \uba85\uc774 \ucd1d 27\uc5b52,700\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc785\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub4e4\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc800\ucd95 \uc218\ub2e8\uc774\uc790 \uc678\ud654 \uc218\uc694\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ucd5c\uadfc \ub450 \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \uac1c\uc778\ub4e4\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc785 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 30\uc5b57\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ube44\uacf5\uc2dd \uc218\uc694\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud569\uce58\uba74 \ub450 \ub2ec\uac04 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc720\ucd9c \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 41\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uac15\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud654 \uc120\ud638 \ud604\uc0c1\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4.
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \ub18d\uc0b0\ubb3c \uc218\ucd9c \ub300\uae08 \uc720\uc785, \ucc28\uc785\uae08, \uae08\uc735 \uc870\ub2ec \ub4f1\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc720\ucd9c\uc744 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  6. CNV, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \ucd5c\ucd08\uc758 ETF \uc2b9\uc778
    \uad6d\uac00\uc99d\uad8c\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(CNV)\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \ucd5c\ucd08\uc758 ETF(\uc0c1\uc7a5\uc9c0\uc218\ud380\ub4dc) \ucd9c\uc2dc\ub97c \uacf5\uc2dd \uc2b9\uc778\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \uc0c1\ud488\uc740 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc8fc\uac00\uc9c0\uc218, \uae08\uc735\uc9c0\uc218, \ud2b9\uc815 \uc790\uc0b0\uad70\uc744 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \ucd94\uc885\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \uc124\uacc4\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc2b9\uc778\ub41c \uad6c\uc870\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • FCIA ETF(\uac1c\ubc29\ud615 \ud22c\uc790\uc2e0\ud0c1 ETF) \u2022 CEVA ETP(\uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 ETF \uc0c1\uc7a5\uc99d\uad8c)
      \uc774 \uc0c1\ud488\ub4e4\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc5d0\uac8c \ud574\uc678 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811 \ub098\uac00\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0\ub3c4 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc790\uc0b0\uad70\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4.
      \ub610\ud55c \ud328\uc2dc\ube0c \ud22c\uc790 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc27d\uac8c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \uc9c0\uc6d0\ud55c\ub2e4.
      \uc774\ubc88 \uaddc\uc81c \ub3c4\uc785\uc73c\ub85c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uad6d\uc81c\uc801 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \ud22c\uc790 \uc218\ub2e8\uc744 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uaddc\uc81c \uccb4\uacc4 \uc548\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc785\ud558\uac8c \ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud22c\uc790 \ubc0f \uc790\uae08\uc870\ub2ec \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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