{"id":12332,"date":"2026-04-20T15:35:27","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T18:35:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=12332"},"modified":"2026-04-20T15:35:29","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T18:35:29","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c04%ec%9b%94-20%ec%9d%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=12332","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(04\uc6d4 20\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uacbd\ubcf4: \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed \ud611\uc0c1 \ubd95\uad34 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc6d0\uc720 \uae09\ub4f1, \uc8fc\uc2dd \ud558\ub77d
    \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ubc88 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub610 \ud55c \ubc88\uc758 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud30c\ud0a4\uc2a4\ud0c4\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ud3c9\ud654 \ud611\uc0c1 \uc2e4\ud328 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ub300\ud654\ub97c \uac70\ubd80\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc790\uad6d \ud654\ubb3c\uc120 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub97c \uacf5\uaca9\ud55c \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uc751\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad70\uc0ac \ud589\ub3d9\uc740 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucd5c\uc545\uc758 \uc6b0\ub824\ub97c \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubd88\ub7ec\uc77c\uc73c\ucf30\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc740 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ubd09\uc1c4 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub85c, \uc678\ubd80\ub85c \ud5a5\ud558\ub294 \uc5f0\ub8cc \uc6b4\uc1a1\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc704\ucd95\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ud3b8, \ube44\uad00\ub860\uc774 \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubc18\uc744 \uc9c0\ubc30\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uc5d0\uc11c \ud070 \ud3ed\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc6d4\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \uc120\ubb3c \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc774\ub0a0 \uc7a5\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub85c \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub358 \uac00\uaca9 \uc548\uc815\uc740 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud14c\ud5e4\ub780\uc758 \ubcf4\ubcf5 \uc704\ud611\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \uace0\uc870\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c 2\uc6d4 28\uc77c \uc801\ub300 \ud589\uc704 \uac1c\uc2dc \uc774\ud6c4 \uacbd\uc81c \ud658\uacbd\uc740 \uadf9\ub3c4\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0 \ub193\uc5ec \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud569\uc758\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc678\uad50\uc801 \ud574\uacb0\ub3c4 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc9d5\ud6c4\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uacf5\uae09 \uc704\uae30\uc640 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc790\uc0b0\uc758 \uadf9\uc2ec\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ubd88\ub77c\uc624\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \ub3c4\ub9e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728, \ucd5c\uc800\uce58 \ub3cc\ud30c
    \uacf5\uc2dd \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 \uc2e4\uc81c \ubc14\ub2e5\uc774 \uc5b4\ub514\uc778\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\ubb38\uc744 \ub0b3\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc62c\ud574 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub3c4\ub9e4 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 6.8% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 2025\ub144 \uc911\ubc18 \uc218\uc900\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud658\uc728\uc744 \ub418\ub3cc\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uba70 \uae08\uc735 \ud658\uc728\uacfc\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\ub3c4 \ucd5c\uc18c \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ucd5c\uadfc 10\uac70\ub798\uc77c \ub3d9\uc548 \ud658\uc728\uc740 8\ubc88 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c \uae08\uc694\uc77c \ub3c4\ub9e4 \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1\ud558\uc5ec 1,364.50\ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc8fc\uac04 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 5.50\ud398\uc18c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uacf5\uc2dd \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\ub2e8\uacfc\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 23.3%\ub85c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc815\ucc45 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uae08\uc735 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc911 MEP \ud658\uc728\uc740 1,412.53\ud398\uc18c \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70(\uaca9\ucc28 3.52%), CCL \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc57d 1,462.24\ud398\uc18c\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4(\uaca9\ucc28 7.16%).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. IMF \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815: \uc7ac\uc815 \uc694\uad6c \uc644\ud654\uc640 \uc2e0\uaddc \ucc28\uad00\uc73c\ub85c \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \ubc29\uc5b4
    \uad6d\uc81c\ud1b5\ud654\uae30\uae08(IMF)\uacfc\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud569\uc758\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc5d0 \uc62c\ud574 \uc57d 47\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc7ac\uc815\uc801 \uc5ec\uc720\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \ud569\uc758\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc740 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc694\uad6c\ub418\ub294 \uae30\ubcf8 \uc7ac\uc815 \ud751\uc790 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c GDP \ub300\ube44 2.2%\uc5d0\uc11c 1.4%\ub85c \ub0ae\ucd98 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 0.8%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\uc758 \uc5ec\uc720\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ubaa9\ud45c \uc7ac\uc870\uc815 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc815\ucc45 \uc790\uc728\uc131\uc744 \ud655\ub300\uc2dc\ud0a8\ub2e4.
    \ub2e4\ub9cc IMF\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uac8c \uc870\uc815\ud588\ub2e4. \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 3.5%\ub85c \ud558\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub418\uc5c8\uace0, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 30.4%\ub85c \uc0c1\ud5a5 \uc870\uc815\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ucc28\uad00 \uc77c\uc815\uc5d0\ub294 10\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uac00 \ud3ec\ud568\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ubaa9\uc801\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 60\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \ub9e4\uc785\ud588\ub2e4.
    IMF\ub294 \uc548\uc815\ud654 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc778\uc815\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ud558\ub77d \uc18d\ub3c4\uac00 \ub2f9\ucd08 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354\ub514\uac8c \uc9c4\ud589\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ucd95\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc7ac\uc815 \uae34\ucd95\uacfc \ud1b5\ud654 \uae34\ucd95 \uc815\ucc45\uc774\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc720\uc5f0\ud55c \ud658\uc728 \ubc34\ub4dc \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uac1c\ud601\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\ud558\ub824 \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae08\uc735 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uc740 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \uc548\uc815\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \ubb3c\uac00\ub85c \uc804\uc774\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud55c\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc131\uacf5 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub294 \uc678\ud654 \uc720\uc785\uacfc \uc0c8 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc774\ud589\uc758 \uc77c\uad00\uc131\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \uc138\uacc4\uc740\ud589 \uc9c0\uc6d0, \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\uc9c0\uc218 500bp \uc120 \uc720\uc9c0
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 500bp\ub97c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\ud68c\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4(\uae08\uc694\uc77c 519bp\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10). \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud611\uc758 \uc774\ud6c4, \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc57d 20\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc138\uacc4\uc740\ud589 \uc9c0\uc6d0 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc18\uc751\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae08\uc735 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uc740 \ub300\uc678 \ucc44\ubb34 \uc0c1\ud658\uc744 \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud558\ub294 \ud575\uc2ec \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.
    \ub8e8\uc774\uc2a4 \uce74\ud478\ud1a0 \uacbd\uc81c\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 IMF, \ubbf8\uc8fc\uac1c\ubc1c\uc740\ud589(BID), CAF (\ub77c\ud2f4\uc544\uba54\ub9ac\uce74 \ubc0f \uce74\ub9ac\ube0c\ud574\uac1c\ubc1c\uc740\ud589) \ub4f1\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ucd94\uac00 \uae08\uc735 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \ub17c\uc758 \uc911\uc774\ub2e4. \ud575\uc2ec \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 \uc774 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \uc7ac\uc735\uc790 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \ub0ae\ucd94\uace0 \uc2e0\uc6a9 \uc811\uadfc\uc131\uc744 \uac1c\uc120\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc774\ub97c \uc911\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \uc9c0\uae09 \ub2a5\ub825\uc774 \uac15\ud654\ub418\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae08\uc735 \uac15\ud654\ub294 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ubcc0\uc218 \uc548\uc815\ud654\uc758 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc790\uc0b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc740 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uad6d\uc81c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc9d1\ud589\ub418\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc88c\uc6b0\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc640\uad00\ub828 \ud3ec\ube0c\uc2a4 \uacbd\uc81c \uc7a1\uc9c0\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \u201c\uc774\ubc88 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\ub85c \uae30\uc874\uc758 \uace0\ube44\uc6a9 \ubd80\ucc44\ub97c \ub300\uccb4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub300\uc678 \uacc4\uc815\uc744 \uc548\uc815\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc624\ub79c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc774\ud6c4 \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uc7ac\uc9c4\uc785\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4\uc774\ub2e4.\u201d<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \uc2e0\uc6a9\uc5d0 \uc5ed\uc810: \uc815\ubd80, \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uc720\ub3c4 \uc704\ud574 \uc740\ud589 \uc790\uae08 \uacf5\uae09 \ud655\ub300
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc2dc\ud589\ud55c \uc9c0\uae09\uc900\ube44\uc728 \uc644\ud654 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uae08\uc735 \ud65c\uc131\ud654\uc640 IMF\uc640\uc758 \ud569\uc758 \uc774\ud589\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud55c\ub2e4. 10\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ucd5c\uc18c \uc9c0\uae09\uc900\ube44\uc728\uc744 75%\uc5d0\uc11c 65%\ub85c \uc778\ud558\ud588\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc740\ud589\ub4e4\uc774 LECAP\uc774\ub098 CER \ucc44\uad8c\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uad6d\ucc44\ub97c \uc900\ube44\uae08\uc5d0 \ud3ec\ud568\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \ud5c8\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uac15\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654 \uae34\ucd95 \uc774\ud6c4 \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uacf5\uae09\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud398\uc18c \uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ub300\ucd9c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub0ae\ucd94\ub294 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uae38 \uae30\ub300\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc815\uae30\uc608\uae08 \uae08\ub9ac\ub9cc \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc2e4\uc81c \ub300\ucd9c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub294 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc2e0\uc6a9 \ud655\ub300\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \uce68\uccb4\ub97c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc18c\ub85c \uac04\uc8fc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc5f0\uccb4\uc728 \uc99d\uac00\uc640 \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uc18c\ub4dd \uac10\uc18c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc790\uae08 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ub298\uc5b4\ub3c4 \uac00\uacc4\uc640 \uae30\uc5c5\uc774 \uc2e0\uaddc \ubd80\ucc44\ub97c \uac10\ub2f9\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\uba74 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub298\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uc131\uacf5\uc740 \uc608\uae08\uae08\ub9ac\uc640 \ub300\ucd9c\uae08\ub9ac \uac04 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ub824 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0 \uc989\uac01\uc801\uc778 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uacf5\uae09\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc9c1\uc811 \uc9c0\uc6d0 \uba54\ucee4\ub2c8\uc998\ub3c4 \uac00\ub3d9\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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