{"id":11903,"date":"2026-03-20T15:58:35","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T18:58:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=11903"},"modified":"2026-03-20T15:58:37","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T18:58:37","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c03%ec%9b%94-20%ec%9d%bc-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=11903","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(03\uc6d4 20\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 9\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900 \ud558\ub77d
    \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \ubb34\uc5ed\ud751\uc790\ub294 2\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc218\ucd9c \uac10\uc18c\uc640 \uc218\uc785 \ubc18\ub4f1 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c 7\uc5b58,800\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. INDEC (\uad6d\uac00\ud1b5\uacc4\uccad)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc218\ucd9c\uc740 59\uc5b56,200\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc804\ub144 \ub300\ube44 2.9% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc5f0\ub8cc\uc640 \ub18d\uc0b0\uc5c5 \uc81c\ud488\uc758 \uac10\uc18c\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc6d0\uc778\uc774\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \uc218\uc785\uc740 51\uc5b57,400\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c 4\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \uac10\uc18c \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uae68\uace0 \uc6d4\uac04 8.2% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc77c\ubd80 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774 \ud604\uc0c1\uc744 \ubc95\uc548 \uc2dc\ud589 \uc804 \uc7ac\uace0 \ud655\ubcf4 \ub54c\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub2e4\ub978 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc678\uad6d\uc0b0 \ud22c\uc785\uc7ac\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0 \uc704\uae30\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 5\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub0ae\uc740 \ud751\uc790 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uad50\uc5ed \ud65c\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \uae09\uac10: \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \ub300\uc678\uc9c0\uae09 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc790\uc0b0 \uc555\ubc15
    \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0\ub294 7\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uba70 \ub2e8 \uc77c\uc8fc\uc77c \ub9cc\uc5d0 23\uc5b54,000\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\uc0c1 \uc904\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 1\uc5b53,200\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc785\ud588\uc74c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uae08 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 3.5% \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc57d 6\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ucd1d\ubcf4\uc720\uace0\ub294 437\uc5b5200\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uba70 1\uc6d4 \ucd08 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uad6d\uc81c\uae30\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c0\uae09\uacfc \uae08\uc735\uc790\uc0b0 \uac00\uce58 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uacb0\ud569\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc678\ubd80 \ucde8\uc57d\uc131\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ud06c\uba70, \ubb34\uc5ed\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \uc678\ud654 \ucd95\uc801 \ub178\ub825\uc774 \uc0c1\uc1c4\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8 \uc0c1\uc2b9: \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc694\uc778\uacfc \uad6d\ub0b4 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ucc44\uad8c \ud558\ub77d
    \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 602bp\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 632bp\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub790\ub358 \uc774\ud6c4 11\uc6d4 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub418\ub3cc\uc544\uac14\ub2e4. \ub098\uc774\uc9c0\ub9ac\uc544\ub098 \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8 \ub4f1 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc2e0\ud765\uad6d\uc774 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778 \ubc18\uba74, \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\ub294 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc0c1\ud669\uc758 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc758 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uae08\ub9ac \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc911\ub3d9 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub77c\ub294 \uc678\ubd80 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \uace0\ubcc0\ub3d9 \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc900 \uacb0\uacfc\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub0b4\ubd80\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 2027\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 300\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ub9cc\uae30 \ubd80\ub2f4, \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ud750\ub984\uc774 \ubb38\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c0\uc801\ub41c\ub2e4. \uace0\uc6a9 \uc815\uccb4, \ub514\uc2a4\uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654, \uc2e0\uc6a9 \uc5f0\uccb4 \uc99d\uac00\ub3c4 \ud604\uc7ac \uacbd\uc81c \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\ubb38\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6b0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \ud658\uc728 \uc548\uc815: \ub3c4\ub9e4\ud658\uc728 \uaca9\ucc28 \ucd95\uc18c \ubc0f \uac70\ub798\ub7c9 \uae09\uc99d
    \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud604\ubb3c \uac70\ub798 \uae30\uc900 5\uc5b59,060\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ub192\uc740 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3c4\ub9e4\ud658\uc728\uc740 1,394.50\ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba70 3\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 2.50\ud398\uc18c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc548\uc815 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc124\uc815\ud55c \ubc34\ub4dc \uc0c1\ub2e8 \ub300\ube44 17.4% \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 7\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uaca9\ucc28\ub2e4. \uae08\uc735\ud658\uc728\uc740 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\uc5b4 MEP 1,421.08\ud398\uc18c, CCL 1,469.23\ud398\uc18c\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \ub192\uc740 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uacfc 6% \uc774\ud558\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubd88\uc548 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\ub41c \ud658\uc728 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.
    \ub610\ud55c \uc678\ud654 \uacf5\uae09 \uc99d\uac00(\uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubc0f \ub18d\uc5c5 \uc218\ucd9c \uccad\uc0b0)\ub85c \uacf5\uc2dd \ud658\uc728\uc740 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba70 2026\ub144 \ub4e4\uc5b4 61\ud398\uc18c(4.2%) \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \uae08\uc735 \ubc29\uc5b4: \uce74\ud478\ud1a0 \uc7a5\uad00, \uc6d4\uac00 \ub300\uc2e0 \ub300\uccb4 \uc790\uae08 \ud655\ubcf4
    \ub8e8\uc774\uc2a4 \uce74\ud478\ud1a0 \uacbd\uc81c\uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uad6d\uc81c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd94\uac00 \uad6d\ucc44 \ubc1c\ud589 \uc5c6\uc774\ub3c4 \uc790\uae08\uc744 \uc870\ub2ec\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\ub2e4. \ub354 \uc800\ub834\ud55c \ub300\uccb4 \uc790\uae08\uc6d0\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc7ac\uc815\ud751\uc790\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc774\uc790 \uc9c0\uae09\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\uba70, \uc57d 90\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc790\uae08\uc774 2027\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uc0c1\ud658 \uc77c\uc815(1\uc6d4, 7\uc6d4 \ub4f1)\uc744 \ucda9\ub2f9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\uc778\ub410\ub2e4. \uc774\ud0c8\ub9ac\uc544\uc640 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc\uc758 \uc591\uc790 \ud611\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uac70\ub860\ub418\uba70, \uc6d4\uac00 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ud68c\ud53c\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ucd1d\ubd80\ucc44\ub97c \ub298\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc7ac\uc735\uc790\ub97c \uc9c4\ud589\ud558\ub824\ub294 \ubaa9\uc801\uc774\uba70, \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uba87 \ub2ec\uac04 \uc790\uae08 \ucd9c\ucc98\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ube44\uacf5\uac1c\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  6. IMF \ud3c9\uac00: \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc218\ucd9c\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ucda9\uaca9 \uacac\ub514\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098
    IMF \ub300\ubcc0\uc778 \uc904\ub9ac \ucf54\uc791\uc740 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uac00 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubd88\uc548 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc21c\uc218\ucd9c\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc798 \ub300\uc751\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub2e4\ub9cc 2\ucc28 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8 \ud3c9\uac00 \ud569\uc758\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc9c0\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \ud558\ube44\uc5d0\ub974 \ubc00\ub808\uc774 \uc815\ubd80 \uacbd\uc81c\ud300\uc740 4\uc6d4 9\uc77c \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134\uc5d0\uc11c \ud611\uc0c1 \uc9c4\uc804\uc744 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. IMF\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub178\ub3d9\uac1c\ud601\uc744 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub610\ud55c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 35\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ub9e4\uc785\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ud45c\uc2dc \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc694 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \uae08\uc735 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ud558\ub8e8 7,000\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \ucd95\uc801\uc774 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc815\ucc45 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  7. \uc720\uac00 \uae34\uc7a5: \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8-WTI \uac00\uaca9 \uaca9\ucc28 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900
    \uc774\ub780, \ubbf8\uad6d, \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \uac04 \uae34\uc7a5 \uace0\uc870\ub85c \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 2013\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uc640 WTI \uac04 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 13%\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\ub2e4.
    \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc9c0\ud45c \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud558\ub294 \ubc18\uba74, WTI\ub294 \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4 \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc801 \ud2b9\uc131\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4\ub2e4. 2026\ub144 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacc4\uc57d \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 75% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":11904,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[23,25,61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11903","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-noticias-argentina","category-informes-economicos"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11903","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=11903"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11903\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11905,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11903\/revisions\/11905"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11904"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=11903"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=11903"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=11903"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}