{"id":11806,"date":"2026-03-11T17:04:46","date_gmt":"2026-03-11T20:04:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=11806"},"modified":"2026-03-11T17:04:47","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T20:04:47","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c03%ec%9b%94-11%ec%9d%bc-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=11806","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(03\uc6d4 11\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. \uce74\ud478\ud1a0 \uacbd\uc81c\uc7a5\uad00, \ud1b5\ud654 \ud1b5\uc81c \uc704\ud55c \ud575\uc2ec \uc785\ucc30 9\uc870 6\ucc9c\uc5b5\ud398\uc18c \uc870\ub2ec \ucd94\uc9c4
    \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \ud55c \uc8fc \ub3d9\uc548 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc740 \ucd1d 9\uc870 6\ucc9c\uc5b5\ud398\uc18c \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ub9cc\uae30 \ub3c4\ub798 \ucc44\uad8c\uc744 \ucc28\ud658\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc785\ucc30\uc744 \uc9c4\ud589\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88 \uc870\uce58\ub294 \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \ucc44\uad8c\uc758 \ubcf5\uadc0\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4.
    \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc740 \uc678\ud658 \ub9e4\uc785 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc1c\ud589\ub41c \ud398\uc18c\ub97c \ud761\uc218\ud574 \ud1b5\ud654\ub7c9\uc744 \uc870\uc808\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ud55c \ub9ce\uc740 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc785\ucc30\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \ud761\uc218 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ub418\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \uad6d\ub0b4 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uc694\uc131\uc774 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\ub294 2026\ub144 \ub9cc\uae30\uc758 LECAP \ubc0f BONCAP \uc2e0\uaddc \ucc44\uad8c\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub418\uba70, CER \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ucc44\uad8c\uacfc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ucc44\uad8c\ub3c4 \uc81c\uacf5\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c 2027\ub144 10\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \ud558\ub4dc\ub2ec\ub7ec \ucc44\uad8c AO27\uc758 \uc7ac\uac1c\ubc29\ub3c4 \ud3ec\ud568\ub418\uba70, \uc774\uc804 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c \ucda9\uc871\ub418\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \uac15\ud55c \uc218\uc694 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd94\uac00\ub85c 1\uc5b5 5\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc870\ub2ec\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc785\ucc30\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud574 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \ub2e8\uae30 \ubd80\ucc44 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uc815\ub9ac\ud558\uace0 \uc678\ubd80 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc2dc\uc911 \ud1b5\ud654\ub7c9\uc744 \ud1b5\uc81c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uae30\ub300\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc640\uad00\ub828 \uc77c\uac04\uc9c0 El Cronista\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4.
    \u201c\ucd5c\uadfc \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc758 \ucc44\uad8c \ubc1c\ud589\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \ub610\ub294 CER \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ucc44\uad8c\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 100% \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \ub864\uc624\ubc84 \ube44\uc728\uc744 \ub2ec\uc131\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud658\uc728 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc9c0 \uc54a\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc720\ub3d9\uc131 \ud655\ubcf4\ub97c \uc6b0\uc120\uc2dc\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uad6c\uc131 \uc5ed\uc2dc 2\uc6d4\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uac8c Lecap + Boncap + CER + \uc77c\ubd80 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ucc44\uad8c \ud615\ud0dc\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc740\ud589\uacfc \ud22c\uc790\ud380\ub4dc\uc758 \ucc38\uc5ec\ub85c \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc6d0\ud65c\ud55c \ubc1c\ud589\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc 7\uc6d4 \ub9cc\uae30 \ucc44\uad8c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacbd\uacc4\uc2ec\uc740 \uc77c\ubd80 \uc874\uc7ac\ud55c\ub2e4.\u201d<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138 \uc911\ub2e8, \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815
    \ud658\uc728\uc740 3\uac70\ub798\uc77c \uc5f0\uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc911\ub2e8\ub418\uba70 \ud558\ub77d\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ud658\uc728 \ubc34\ub4dc \uc0c1\ub2e8\uacfc\uc758 \uac04\uaca9\uc774 \ud655\ub300\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc0c1\ub2e8 \uae30\uc900\uc740 1,623.48\ud398\uc18c, \uc774\uc804 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub9c8\uac10 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 1,400\ud398\uc18c\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \uc870\uc815\uc740 \ud604\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57d 4\uc5b5 5,830\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac70\ub798\uac00 \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc73c\uba70, \uc2e0\ud765\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ubd88\ub9ac\ud55c \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735 \ud658\uacbd \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud588\ub2e4. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uc640 \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158 \ucd95\uc18c\uac00 \ud22c\uc790 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.
    \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc838 \ucd5c\ub300 1.5% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, 3\uc6d4 \ub9d0 \ud658\uc728 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 1,420\ud398\uc18c \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc120\ubb3c \uac70\ub798 \uaddc\ubaa8\ub294 12\uc5b5 1,900\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc600\ub2e4.
    \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 MEP \ud658\uc728\uacfc CCL \ud658\uc728\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 \uac01\uac01 0.7% \ud558\ub77d, MEP\ub294 1,422.12\ud398\uc18c, CCL\uc740 1,462.51\ud398\uc18c\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ud658\uc728 \uaca9\ucc28\ub294 15.9% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ucd95\uc18c\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uace7 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub420 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc640 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uace0 \ucd95\uc801 \ub2a5\ub825\uc744 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \uad6d\ub0b4 \uae08\uc735\uc790\uc0b0 \uc0c1\uc2b9
    \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc790\uc0b0 \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \ub099\uad00\uc801\uc778 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \ud615\uc131\ub41c \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 S&P \uba54\ub974\ubc1c \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud398\uc18c \uae30\uc900 2.5%, \ub2ec\ub7ec \uae30\uc900 3.3% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc8fc\uc694 \uae30\uc5c5\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub41c \ub9ac\ub354 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc740 \ucd5c\ub300 6.6% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \ub274\uc695\uc5d0\uc11c \uac70\ub798\ub418\ub294 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 ADR\ub3c4 \ucd5c\ub300 7.3% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud68c\ubcf5 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\ub294 \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uad6d\ub0b4\ubc95 \ubc0f \ud574\uc678\ubc95 \ucc44\uad8c \ubaa8\ub450 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uad6d\uac00\uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\ub294 583bp\uc5d0\uc11c 555bp\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735\ud658\uacbd\uacfc \ub300\ube44\ub418\ub294 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \ud63c\uc870\uc138\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5\uc740 \uae30\uc220\uc8fc \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c 0.01% \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9,
    \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4\uc640 S&P500\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ubd84\uc744 \ubc18\ub0a9\ud558\uba70 \uac01\uac01 0.07%, 0.2% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uad6d\ub0b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uad6d\uc81c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub354 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ud0dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc2dc\uc7a5: \uc6d4\uac00 \uc18c\ud3ed \ubc18\ub4f1, \uc720\uac00 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc9c0\uc18d
    \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \ubd84\uc704\uae30 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6d4\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc77c \uac1c\uc7a5 \uc804 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \uc18c\ud3ed \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    S&P500 +0.15%,\ub098\uc2a4\ub2e5 +0.12%, \ub2e4\uc6b0\uc874\uc2a4 +0.14% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uc804\uc77c \ud558\ub77d\ubd84\uc744 \uc77c\ubd80 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    \ub274\uc695 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\ub41c \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uc640 \ub2ec\ub9ac \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720\uc640 WTI\ub294 2% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 \uac01\uac01 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 90.96\ub2ec\ub7ec, 86.13\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uacf5\uae09 \ubd88\uc548\uacfc \uc804\ub7b5 \ube44\ucd95\uc720 \ubc29\ucd9c\uc774 \uc774\ub97c \uc644\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc758\ubb38 \ub54c\ubb38\uc73c\ub85c \ubd84\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ud3b8 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 2\uc6d4 \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00(IPC)\uac00 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc6d4\uac04 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 0.3%, \uc5f0\uac04 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 2.4%, \uadfc\uc6d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 0.2%\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc720\ub7fd \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    \ub3c5\uc77c DAX -0.72%\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uace0, \uadc0\uae08\uc18d \uac00\uaca9\ub3c4 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud63c\uc870\uc138\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc77c\ubcf8 \ub2c8\ucf00\uc774\uc640 \ud55c\uad6d \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c\ub294 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub294 \uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc555\ub825 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud22c\uc790\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ubd84\uc5f4\ub41c \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc784\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.
    \uc774\uc640\uad00\ub828 \u00c1mbito Financiero\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\ub2e4.
    \u201c\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 \uc804\uc7c1 \ud655\ub300 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uba54\uc2dc\uc9c0\ub97c \ub0b4\uba74\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \uc989\uac01 \ud558\ub77d \uc870\uc815\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\uace0 \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\ub294 98.96\ub2ec\ub7ec, WTI\ub294 94.77\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc758 \uadfc\ubcf8 \uc6d0\uc778\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \ub450 \uc720\uac00 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uc2dc\uc791 \uc774\ud6c4 30% \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub2e4.\u201d<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \uc911\ub3d9 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc18d \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138
    \uc2a4\uc704\uc2a4 \uae08\uc735\uae30\uad00 UBS\uc758 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc774\ub780\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc2ec\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc720\uac00\uac00 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 120\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c\uc11c\uc758 \uc9c0\uc704\ub97c \ub354\uc6b1 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc6d0\uc720\uc640 \uac00\uc2a4 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc77c \ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uacbd\uc81c \uc131\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654\uc5d0\ub294 \ud070 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud2b9\ud788 \uc720\ub85c\ud654\uc640 \uc2e0\ud765\uad6d \ud1b5\ud654\uac00 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8 \ud5e4\uc54c\uacfc \uba55\uc2dc\ucf54 \ud398\uc18c\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \ub178\ucd9c\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c \uc758\uc874\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uc744 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0, \uae30\ubcf8 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uac15\uc138\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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