{"id":11771,"date":"2026-03-09T16:01:04","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T19:01:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=11771"},"modified":"2026-03-09T16:01:05","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T19:01:05","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c03%ec%9b%94-09%ec%9d%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=11771","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(03\uc6d4 09\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. \uc911\ub3d9 \uc704\uae30 \uc720\uac00 3\ub144 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58 \uae09\ub4f1
    \ubbf8\uad6d, \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8, \uc774\ub780 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uac15\ub300\uad6d\uc774 \uc5bd\ud78c \uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uad6d\uc81c \uc720\uac00\ub294 3\ub144 \ubc18 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf9\uc2ec\ud55c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \ube0c\ub80c\ud2b8\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 104\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub118\uc5b4\uc130\uace0(\uc7a5\uc911 \ucd5c\uace0 117\ub2ec\ub7ec), \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc720(WTI)\ub3c4 101\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud558\uba70 \uc57d 12% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ubc88 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub7a0\ub9ac\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc6d0\uc720 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc8fc\uac04 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc774 \ucd5c\ub300 36%\uc5d0 \ub2ec\ud558\uba70, \uadf8 \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\ub294 \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uc548\uc804 \ubb38\uc81c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc801 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ud574\ud611\uc740 \uc138\uacc4 \uc6d0\uc720\uc758 \uc57d 20%\uac00 \ud1b5\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ubcd1\ubaa9 \uc9c0\uc810\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ub4dc\ub860\uacfc \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \uacf5\uaca9 \uc704\ud611\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud574\ud611\uc758 \uc6b4\uc1a1\uc774 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ub9c8\ube44\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc81c\uae30\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc2ec\uac01\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc0ac\ud0dc\uc758 \uc2ec\uac01\uc131 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc774\ub77c\ud06c, \ucfe0\uc6e8\uc774\ud2b8, \uc544\ub78d\uc5d0\ubbf8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc0b0\uc720\uad6d\ub4e4\uc740 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uc744 \uc904\uc774\uae30 \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\ub2e4. \uc800\uc7a5 \ud0f1\ud06c\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 \ud55c\uacc4\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc84c\uace0 \uad6d\uc81c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc6d0\uc720\ub97c \uc6b4\uc1a1\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ubb3c\ub9ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5b4\ub824\uc6cc\uc84c\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uac00\uc2a4\uc640 \uc11d\uc720 \uc778\ud504\ub77c\uac00 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uacf5\uaca9 \uc704\ud5d8\uc5d0 \ub193\uc5ec \uc788\uace0 \uc678\uad50 \ud611\uc0c1\ub3c4 \uad50\ucc29 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \ube60\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c \uc138\uacc4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc804\ub840 \uc5c6\ub294 \uacf5\uae09 \uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uba74\ud588\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uc57d \uc0ac\ud0dc\uac00 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \ubb3c\ub958 \ube44\uc6a9\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ubaa9\ud45c\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ud754\ub4e4\ub9b4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uacb0\uad6d \uc720\uac00\uc758 \ud5a5\ubc29\uc740 \uc138\uacc4 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc774 \uac08\ub4f1\uc758 \uc804\uac1c\uc5d0 \uc88c\uc6b0\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc99d\uc2dc \u2018\uac80\uc740 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c\u2019 : \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\ud3ec \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubd95\uad34 \ucd08\ub798
    \uc624\ub298 \uc138\uacc4 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uc99d\uc2dc \uae09\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uacfc \uc911\ub3d9 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \uc555\ubc15\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ube44\uad00\ub860\uc774 \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uba70, \ub3c4\ucfc4 \ub2c8\ucf00\uc774225 \uc9c0\uc218 \u22125.2% \uae09\ub77d\ud588\uace0, \uc11c\uc6b8 \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c\ub294 \uc57d \u22126% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ucf54\uc2a4\ud53c\uc758 \uae09\ub77d\uc73c\ub85c \ub2f9\uad6d\uc740 \uc120\ubb3c\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uae34\uae09 \uc911\ub2e8 \uc7a5\uce58(\uc11c\ud0b7 \ube0c\ub808\uc774\ucee4)\ub97c \uac00\ub3d9\ud574 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uacf5\ud669\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud574\uc57c \ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc911\uad6d \ubcf8\ud1a0\uc640 \ud64d\ucf69 \uc99d\uc2dc\ub294 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc120\ubc29\ud574
    \uc911\uad6d \ubcf8\ud1a0 \uc57d \u22120.7%, \ud64d\ucf69 \uc57d \u22121.4%\ub85c
    \ud558\ub77d\ud3ed\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub410\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc720\ub7fd \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc2ec\uac01\ud574 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc99d\uc2dc\uac00 2% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uc555\ubc15\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uac70 \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uacf5\uae09 \ubd80\uc871\uacfc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \ud754\ub4e4 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \u201c\uc11d\uc720 \ucda9\uaca9\u201d \uace0\uae08\ub9ac \uc7a5\uae30\ud654 \uc804\ub9dd \ubc18\uc601
    \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1 \ud655\uc0b0\uc740 \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uad6d\ucc44 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud070 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \uc8fc\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc720\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\uc774 \ud1b5\uc81c \ubd88\uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \ucd09\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc138\uacc4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uad6d\ucc44 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uac00 \ud655\uc0b0\ub410\ub2e4.
    \ucc44\uad8c \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uae09\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \uc790\ub3d9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\uad6d 10\ub144\ubb3c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \ud070 \ud3ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\uace0, \ub3c5\uc77c \uad6d\ucc44 \uae08\ub9ac\ub3c4 \uc57d 6\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \uc601\uad6d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 40bp \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uba70 \uae08\uc735 \ubd88\uc548\uc758 \uadf8\ub9bc\uc790\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub5a0\uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc740 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc640 \uc624\uc138\uc544\ub2c8\uc544\ub85c \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uc5c8\uace0, \ud638\uc8fc \uad6d\ucc44 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 2011\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uae30\ub300\ub3c4 \ud06c\uac8c \ubc14\ub00c\uc5c8\ub2e4.
    \uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0\ub294 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 7\uc6d4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ud604\uc7ac \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ucd5c\uc18c 9\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 2026\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0\ub3c4 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\uac00 \uc5c6\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc774\ub978\ubc14 \u201c\ub354 \uc624\ub798 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\u201d \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub85c, \uc720\ub7fd \ucc44\uad8c \uc120\ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 15\ub144 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \ucd5c\uc800 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub192\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \u2018\uc804\uc2dc \uacbd\uc81c\u2019 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uadf8\ub9bc\uc790
    \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uc2a4\ud0dc\uadf8\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158(\ubb3c\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc131\uc7a5 \ub454\ud654\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubc1c\uc0dd) \uc0c1\ud669\uc73c\ub85c \ube60\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ubd88\uc548 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uad6d\uc81c\ud1b5\ud654\uae30\uae08(IMF)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 10% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc138\uacc4 GDP \uc131\uc7a5\ub960 \ucd5c\ub300 0.2% \uac10\uc18c\ud558\uace0, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc740 0.4% \ucd94\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 \ucde8\uc57d\ud55c \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c \ud68c\ubcf5\uc5d0 \ud070 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.
    \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc704\uae30 \uc0c1\ud669 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c G7 \uc7ac\ubb34\uc7a5\uad00\ub4e4\uc740 \uad6d\uc81c\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uae30\uad6c(IEA)\uc640 \ud611\ub825\ud574 \uc804\ub7b5 \ube44\ucd95\uc720 \ubc29\ucd9c\uc744 \uae34\uae09 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 \uae09\ub4f1\ud558\ub294 \uc720\uac00\ub97c \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc548\uc815\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc77c\ubd80 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \ucc44\uad8c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uae08\ub9ac \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc778\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \uc2ec\uac01\ud558\uace0 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \ucda9\uaca9\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc989, \uc774\ubc88 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ucda9\uaca9\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uae08\uc735 \uc790\uc0b0\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \uae4a\uace0 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud658\uc728 1,400\ud398\uc18c \ub3cc\ud30c
    \uad6d\uc81c\uc801\uc778 \uc704\ud5d8 \ud68c\ud53c \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\ud654\ub418\uba74\uc11c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uacf5\uc2dd \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud658\uc728\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.
    \ub3c4\ub9e4 \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc774\uc804\uc758 \uc548\uc815 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uae68\uace0 1,416\ud398\uc18c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub9c8\uac10\ud558\uba70 \uba87 \uc8fc\uac04 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\ub358 1,400\ud398\uc18c \uc7a5\ubcbd\uc744 \ub3cc\ud30c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\ub3d9 \ubd84\uc7c1 \uaca9\ud654\ub85c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc548\uc804\uc790\uc0b0\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ub3d9\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 2024\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud3ed\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \uac83\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ud750\ub984\uc774\ub2e4.
    \ud604\uc7ac \ud658\uc728\uc740 \uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uc124\uc815\ud55c \ud658\uc728 \ubc34\ub4dc \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc778 1,617.5\ud398\uc18c \ub300\ube44 \uc57d 14.2% \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4.
    \uad6d\ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uad6c\uc870 \uc7ac\uc870\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \ud398\uc18c \uce90\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub4dc \ub9e4\ub825\uc774 \uc57d\ud654\ub41c \uc810\ub3c4 \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc555\ub825\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6e0\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \ub300\ub450 \uc218\ud655 \uc815\uc0b0 \uc9c0\uc5f0\uc73c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uc810\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.
    \uae08\uc735 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294, CCL : 1,479.10\ud398\uc18c (\uaca9\ucc28 4.46%), MEP : 1,437.53\ud398\uc18c (\uaca9\ucc28 1.52%)\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.
    \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uae08\uc694\uc77c 4,000\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc785\ud558\uba70 3\uc6d4 \ub204\uc801 \uc21c\ub9e4\uc218 2\uc5b59,100\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740 \ucd1d 460\uc5b5400\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc9d1\uacc4\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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