{"id":11594,"date":"2026-02-24T15:30:23","date_gmt":"2026-02-24T18:30:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=11594"},"modified":"2026-02-24T15:30:24","modified_gmt":"2026-02-24T18:30:24","slug":"%ec%98%a4%eb%8a%98%ec%9d%98-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c02%ec%9b%94-24%ec%9d%bc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hanin.org.ar\/?p=11594","title":{"rendered":"\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c(02\uc6d4 24\uc77c)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\uc624\ub298\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  1. \uacf5\uc2dd \uc804\ub7b5: \uacbd\uc81c\ubd80 20\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc870\ub2ec \uacc4\ud68d
    2026\ub144 7\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ucc44\uad8c \uc0c1\ud658 \uc758\ubb34\ub97c \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ud589\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c\ubd80\ub294 \uad6d\ucc44 \ubc1c\ud589 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ubcc0\uacbd\ud558\uace0 \ucd1d 20\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uc870\ub2ec\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud45c\uc2dc \ucc44\uad8c\uc744 \ub3c4\uc785\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc7ac\ubb34\uccad\uc740 2\uc8fc\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\ub294 \uc785\ucc30 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \ub3c4\uc785\ud574 \ub9e4 \ub77c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub9c8\ub2e4 \ucd5c\ub300 1\uc5b55\ucc9c\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubaa8\uc9d1\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ucd94\uac00 \ub77c\uc6b4\ub4dc\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 1\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub354 \ubc1c\ud589\ud574 \ub9e4\ub2ec \ucd1d 5\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ubaa8\uc544 \ubaa9\ud45c \uae08\uc561\uc5d0 \ub3c4\ub2ec\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \uc0c8 \uae08\uc735\uc0c1\ud488\uc758 \ub9cc\uae30\ub294 2027\ub144 10\uc6d4 29\uc77c\uc774\uba70 \uc5f0 \uc774\uc790\uc728\uc740 6%\uc774\uace0 \uc774\uc790\ub294 \ub9e4\uc6d4 \uc9c0\uae09\ub418\uba70 \uc6d0\uae08\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30\uc5d0 \uc77c\uc2dc \uc0c1\ud658\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub0b4\uc77c \uc9c4\ud589\ub420 \uad6d\ucc44 \uc785\ucc30\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uace0\uc815\uae08\ub9ac \ucc44\uad8c\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 2024\ub144 \ub9d0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucc98\uc74c \uc788\ub294 \uc77c\ub85c \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ucc44\uad8c(Lecer, Boncer)\uacfc \ud658\uc728 \uc5f0\ub3d9 \ucc44\uad8c(Dollar linked), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 2028\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \ub9cc\uae30 \uc0c1\ud488\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ub2e4\ubcc0\ud654 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud22c\uc790\uc790 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ub9cc\uae30\uc778 7\uc870 2\ucc9c\uc5b5 \ud398\uc18c \ucc44\ubb34\uc758 \ub864\uc624\ubc84\ub97c \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud558\uba70 3\uc6d4\uacfc 4\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \uc57d 35\uc870 \ud398\uc18c\uc758 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ub9cc\uae30\ub97c \ub300\ube44\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  2. \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 2019\ub144 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900
    \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ucd08 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc740 \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c 9,500\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \ub9e4\uc785\ud558\uba70 \uae0d\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc774\uc5b4\uac14\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc62c\ud574 \ub204\uc801 \ub9e4\uc785\uc561\uc740 25\uc5b5700\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud750\ub984\uacfc \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 \uc678\ubd80 \uc694\uc778\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098\uc758 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561\uc740 466\uc5b53,400\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 2019\ub144 10\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ub294 \uae08 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc774 \ud06c\uba70 \ud2b9\ud788 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \ucd5c\uadfc \ubbf8\uad6d \ubc95\uc6d0 \ud310\uacb0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc57d\uc138\uac00 \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c \uac83\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \uc9c0\ud45c\uc758 \ubd80\uc9c4\ub3c4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \ub354\ud574 \uc0b0\ud0c0\ud398 \uc8fc\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uad6d\uc81c \uc790\ubcf8\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc9c4\ucd9c\ud574 8\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8 \ucc44\uad8c\uc744 \uc131\uacf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\ud589\ud55c \uac83\ub3c4 \uc678\ud658\ubcf4\uc720\uc561 \uc99d\uac00\uc5d0 \uae30\uc5ec\ud588\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  3. \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc790\uc0b0 \ud558\ub77d, \uad6d\uac00 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 537bp \uc0c1\uc2b9
    \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub274\uc695\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc73c\ub85c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uc790\uc0b0\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba70 \ucd9c\ubc1c\ud588\ub2e4. MERVAL \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 \ud398\uc18c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 3.8% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uace0 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 3.9% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uad6d\ucc44 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc57d\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uba70 JP Morgan\uc774 \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uad6d\uac00 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4\uac00 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub3d9\uc548 3.5% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 537bp\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c \ucd5c\uadfc \ud55c \ub2ec \uc911 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc6d4\uac00\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ubd80\uc815\uc801\uc778 \ubd84\uc704\uae30\uac00 \ud655\uc0b0\ub418\uba70 Dow Jones, S&P500, Nasdaq \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc218\uac00 \ubaa8\ub450 1% \uc774\uc0c1 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc758 \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\ub294 \uc778\uacf5\uc9c0\ub2a5\uc774 \uae30\uc5c5 \uc218\uc775\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce60 \uc601\ud5a5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uacfc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 \uae34\uae09 \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc758 \ud310\uacb0 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uac00 15% \uc784\uc2dc \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc704\ud611\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubb34\uc5ed \uc804\uc7c1 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ucee4\uc84c\uace0 \uae08\uc735 \ubc0f \uc18c\ud504\ud2b8\uc6e8\uc5b4 \ubd80\ubb38\uc774 \ud2b9\ud788 \ud070 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uad6d\uc81c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc2e0\ud765\uad6d \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc544\ub974\ud5e8\ud2f0\ub098 \uae30\uc5c5\ub4e4\uc758 \uc8fc\uac00\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  4. \ud658\uc728 \ud3c9\uc628\uc758 \uc6d0\uc778
    \ud604\uc7ac \uc678\ud658\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ube44\uad50\uc801 \uc548\uc815\ub41c \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc740 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc694\uc778\uc774 \uacb0\ud569\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\uc774\ub2e4. \ub18d\uc5c5 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \uc218\ucd9c\ub85c \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc720\uc785\uc774 \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uace0 \uc2e0\uc6a9 \ud655\ub300\uc640 \uc678\ucc44 \ubc1c\ud589\uc774 \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc73c\uba70 \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uac1c\uc785\uacfc \uc6b0\ud638\uc801\uc778 \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735 \ud658\uacbd\uc774 \ud568\uaed8 \uc791\uc6a9\ud588\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ub3c4\ub9e4 \uacf5\uc2dd \ud658\uc728\uc740 1,370.50\ud398\uc18c\uc774\uba70 \uae08\uc735 \ud658\uc728\uc778 MEP\ub294 1,394.84\ud398\uc18c, CCL\uc740 1,420.34\ud398\uc18c \uc218\uc900\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uac01\uac01 1.78%\uc640 3.64%\uc758 \uaca9\ucc28\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ub300\ub450 \uc218\ud655\uc774 \ub05d\ub098\uba74\uc11c \ubbfc\uac04 \ubd80\ubb38\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\uace0 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 \ub9e4\ub825\uc801\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \ub418\uba74 \ud398\uc18c \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc774 \ud574\uccb4\ub420 \uc704\ud5d8\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud604\uc7ac 1,600.69\ud398\uc18c \uc218\uc900\uc778 \ud658\uc728 \ubc34\ub4dc \uc0c1\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uac00\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub294 \ud658\uc728 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774\ub098 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ub354 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  5. \uc5d4\ud2b8\ub808\ub9ac\uc624\uc2a4 \uc8fc\uc758 \uc9c0\ubc29 \ucc44\uad8c \ubc1c\ud589
    \uc5d4\ud2b8\ub808\ub9ac\uc624\uc2a4 \uc8fc\uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc7ac\uc815 \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uac1c\uc120\ud558\uace0 \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \ud65c\uc131\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ucd5c\ub300 5\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \ub2ec\ub7ec \ud45c\uc2dc \ucc44\uad8c \ubc1c\ud589\uc744 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \ucc44\uad8c\uc740 \ub9cc\uae30 7\ub144\uc774\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac\ub294 \uc785\ucc30 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uacb0\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc790\ub294 6\uac1c\uc6d4\ub9c8\ub2e4 \uc9c0\uae09\ub418\uace0 \uc6d0\uae08\uc740 3\ub144\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \ubd84\ud560 \uc0c1\ud658\ub420 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \uc870\ub2ec\ub41c \uc790\uae08\uc740 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \ubaa9\uc801\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud558\ub098\ub294 2028\ub144\uc5d0 \ub9cc\uae30\uc778 \uae30\uc874 \ucc44\uad8c\uc744 \uc7ac\ub9e4\uc785\ud574 \ubd80\ucc44 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uac1c\uc120\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\uace0 \ub2e4\ub978 \ud558\ub098\ub294 \ud56d\ub9cc\uacfc \ub3c4\ub85c \ud604\ub300\ud654, \ubcf4\uac74\u00b7\uad50\uc721\u00b7\uc8fc\ud0dd \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \uac1c\uc120 \ub4f1 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc778\ud504\ub77c \uacc4\ud68d\uc744 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8 \ucf54\ub974\ub3c4\ubc14, \uc0b0\ud0c0\ud398, \ubd80\uc5d0\ub178\uc2a4\uc544\uc774\ub808\uc2a4 \uc2dc \ub4f1 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\ubc29\uc815\ubd80\uac00 \uad6d\uc81c \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc811\uadfc\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud588\ub358 \ubc29\uc2dd\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74 \ub77c\ub9ac\uc624\ud558 \uc8fc\ub294 \ucd5c\uadfc \ucc44\uad8c \uc0c1\ud658\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc774\ud589\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud574 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc9c0\uae09\ubd88\ub2a5 \uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \ub4e4\uc5b4\uac14\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub97c \uc5bb\ub294 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc815\ubd80\uc640 \ubd80\ucc44 \uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \ube60\uc9c4 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc815\ubd80 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \ud070 \uaca9\ucc28\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  6. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\uc758 10% \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uad00\uc138 \uc870\uce58
    \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ubc95\uc6d0\uc758 \ud310\uacb0\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc218\uc785\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 10%\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud558\ub294 \uc870\uce58\ub97c \uc2dc\ud589\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae34\uae09 \uad8c\ud55c\uc744 \uc774\uc6a9\ud55c \uae30\uc874 \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ubb34\ud6a8\ud654\ud55c \ub300\ubc95\uc6d0 \ud310\uacb0\uc744 \uc6b0\ud68c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc73c\ub85c \ud574\uc11d\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504\ub294 \ud589\uc815\uba85\ub839\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc218\uc9c0 \uc801\uc790\ub97c \ud574\uacb0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc870\uce58\ub77c\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc774 \uad00\uc138\ub294 \ucd08\uae30 150\uc77c \ub3d9\uc548 \uc801\uc6a9\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc758\uc57d\ud488 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uacfc \uba55\uc2dc\ucf54 \ubc0f \uce90\ub098\ub2e4\uc758 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \uc0c1\ud488\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac \uc790\uc720\ubb34\uc5ed\ud611\uc815 \uccb4\uacc4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc608\uc678\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ubbf8 \uc57d 1,700\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec \uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uad00\uc138 \uc218\uc785\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2f8\uace0 \uae30\uc5c5\uacfc \ubbfc\uc8fc\ub2f9 \uc8fc\uc815\ubd80\ub4e4\uc774 \ubcf4\uc0c1\uc744 \uc694\uad6c\ud558\uba70 \uc18c\uc1a1\uc744 \uc900\ube44\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \ubc95\uc801 \ubd84\uc7c1\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ucca0\uac15\uacfc \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \ub4f1 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ucd94\uac00 \uad00\uc138 \ubd80\uacfc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\ub3c4 \uc5f4\ub824 \uc788\uc5b4 \ubb34\uc5ed \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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